tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-46934979532568244902024-03-13T02:17:53.231-07:00交易藏宝图一个集合多个交易市场数据和图表的博客。
博客内容对国际市场的期货商品和股市的资金走势进行分析。
当然还有多个“独家”的马来西亚股市统计数据分析。简单的图表,让读者轻松理解数据,了解走势。Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.comBlogger28125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-47525519342075768462014-02-23T04:04:00.001-08:002014-02-23T04:04:50.702-08:00马来西亚股市简析(feb21)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgEHAXf1bnyf9s88QcG5USuyGMXkkMJo8ofeR0sNoUGlcv21B9cRS68QpPTUoaFqv-eFv5fHmwKb9JC0fWzTsS1fqkHj-8DiCqkNHfEYbLSKaVUVVj84Y-e4eS0fxayBs6DliWDoMX1cfLy/s1600/KLCI.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgEHAXf1bnyf9s88QcG5USuyGMXkkMJo8ofeR0sNoUGlcv21B9cRS68QpPTUoaFqv-eFv5fHmwKb9JC0fWzTsS1fqkHj-8DiCqkNHfEYbLSKaVUVVj84Y-e4eS0fxayBs6DliWDoMX1cfLy/s1600/KLCI.png" height="132" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马来西亚富时综合指数延续前周的上涨趋势走升 ,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
周五指数以1830.74挂收,全周上升11.37点。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
FKLI期指则上升15点。 </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
目前指数站上月线之于,也站上了季线之上 。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgXD0mQl_PK7WJgc71DoBPvI8NkgOAJRV4W53X7AEpeXNbS_SaAhOqBqy-Kcei-5rrLok8kVJc-IfO1iexcKvZrPPDKRWIXgyRpVT8oukfNB743OcHxLAjyGdskzBAe3e7LROMWhU-y6wyR/s1600/KLCICOM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgXD0mQl_PK7WJgc71DoBPvI8NkgOAJRV4W53X7AEpeXNbS_SaAhOqBqy-Kcei-5rrLok8kVJc-IfO1iexcKvZrPPDKRWIXgyRpVT8oukfNB743OcHxLAjyGdskzBAe3e7LROMWhU-y6wyR/s1600/KLCICOM.png" height="196" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
30只权值股,绝大部分持续获得资金支持。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
20 日统计资料同样显示资金依然留守权值股。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
短期多头涨势还是可以持续一段时间。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhUETZgSONjlgFcXjqZM20fIS43iyRLexXb7crhOAMM77MhwKReKjlrLyBDFmVijnqXOdmCFcp5Z4_c8yaaDY-c_fG6NK-norMUnOiyqgCu9RtAzTQirJ_B2QsLqwXxgqqVlcJmBSg_ICI1/s1600/FBMSCAP.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhUETZgSONjlgFcXjqZM20fIS43iyRLexXb7crhOAMM77MhwKReKjlrLyBDFmVijnqXOdmCFcp5Z4_c8yaaDY-c_fG6NK-norMUnOiyqgCu9RtAzTQirJ_B2QsLqwXxgqqVlcJmBSg_ICI1/s1600/FBMSCAP.png" height="211" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
2月份的小盘股指数比反映蓝筹股走势的综合指数还强。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
指数也突破了历史高点,但后续的成交量已逐步递减,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
指数有机会出现缺口回补, 小盘股已不宜再追。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhHGQRykyVHkk6aS182ts0-sOn9rkXrK_VI6-iN8oxbxDxC67bM4g0mCxK62FNTg2Iqh-vvvi2LSAmnV9kSonxy5JtQJ37HH_h92o2rfAaLCYbnuORleeTpprsNOw99ipyTD4wxE4BGPeGf/s1600/KLCIMFL.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhHGQRykyVHkk6aS182ts0-sOn9rkXrK_VI6-iN8oxbxDxC67bM4g0mCxK62FNTg2Iqh-vvvi2LSAmnV9kSonxy5JtQJ37HH_h92o2rfAaLCYbnuORleeTpprsNOw99ipyTD4wxE4BGPeGf/s1600/KLCIMFL.png" height="205" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
马来西亚股市资金流向图,外资继续撤离马来西亚股市。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
但撤资幅度继续减弱,也让这波短期反弹走势持续。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
接下来就继续留意指数可否延续涨势,反弹至1840阻力位。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiI8m8TBE_l7lBa0WTQKA10Z6U0a7Whb-pUl0UsjdIsqKNRf_s5zV_8a8wA8kkYYc5hESMHjyYL73Ho2ML1aiZ313BFezmgyRwrIBetkUmMyDAnitDJVcKbQDxJ39mSnIIdekSzOg9bILPZ/s1600/ASEAN.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiI8m8TBE_l7lBa0WTQKA10Z6U0a7Whb-pUl0UsjdIsqKNRf_s5zV_8a8wA8kkYYc5hESMHjyYL73Ho2ML1aiZ313BFezmgyRwrIBetkUmMyDAnitDJVcKbQDxJ39mSnIIdekSzOg9bILPZ/s1600/ASEAN.png" height="184" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
再把资金流向的观察范围扩大,看看国际热钱在亚洲四小虎股市的流向。 </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
过去一周,马来西亚和泰国继续是外资首要减码的市场。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
印尼股市相对的受外资的青睐,这惯性依然持续着。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
另外也留意2月份,4国的5年CDS走势,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
基本上有关市场风险已减低。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgG6rLiOYCPpPn6lQpuIx42LJFjeLT1Cm0r1nJnS_Y9NVtD1weY9hkEudvqKDv3pDVpTISnR-JImT8Pqulyv25WU1ntEH_H7j9kHNyiCqOjA2WiMtQHrupIyivdOYhjIuBhwkjy-jv66ijp/s1600/MYR.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgG6rLiOYCPpPn6lQpuIx42LJFjeLT1Cm0r1nJnS_Y9NVtD1weY9hkEudvqKDv3pDVpTISnR-JImT8Pqulyv25WU1ntEH_H7j9kHNyiCqOjA2WiMtQHrupIyivdOYhjIuBhwkjy-jv66ijp/s1600/MYR.png" height="223" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
汇率方面,美元继续走弱,多数亚洲货币继续走强。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马币持续站稳月线,股指也站上月线。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
5日也都保持股汇双涨的格局。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
这对股市是有利的支持,股市风险也减低了一些。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJzBK42-frWdEtCcmdGqYlKVKUosTeFxr0K62dSIQ92NRHMA7ePkR1yEcX2wgJtvXLe1KzWrkmbWIxDcnGs1mi8ytDa87FWz4kCNJS7oZItFma2IidWDY_5PHcYQ3TTbPui-PTgWLh3Ava/s1600/FKLI.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJzBK42-frWdEtCcmdGqYlKVKUosTeFxr0K62dSIQ92NRHMA7ePkR1yEcX2wgJtvXLe1KzWrkmbWIxDcnGs1mi8ytDa87FWz4kCNJS7oZItFma2IidWDY_5PHcYQ3TTbPui-PTgWLh3Ava/s1600/FKLI.png" height="190" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
期货方面,留仓量有异动,一周留仓量增加了2.3 %。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
接下来是结算周,期指又会有大波动。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
目前还是建议交易人顺势而为,空方讯号还未出现。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
总结:
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
指数处于月线之上,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
期指处于月线之上,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马币处于月线之上, </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
现货与期货是正差价,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
外资继续保持流出趋势,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
综合指数权值股资金流入,</div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
预期行情走势还是偏向上升的反弹格局,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
但切勿对大多头行情有多大的期待。 </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
这波的涨势并不是大型权值股领涨,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
外资用的是声东击西。 </div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-53119191286071136002014-02-16T02:26:00.000-08:002014-02-16T02:54:27.381-08:00马来西亚股市简析(feb 16)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhm_RrU7Jw6UX3nL74Eq_tJgu4J7eVlRJC_uQ6OaRfpplDaz3B0YLy6Cc6wLzKN1pCBZynZEuqOI68MwujnBHdr2NeL4vWA77uLgt34Lwe50koSmEDUYDMkzK0VtonLrvFXvh5x_c1XXe-Y/s1600/FBMKLCI.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhm_RrU7Jw6UX3nL74Eq_tJgu4J7eVlRJC_uQ6OaRfpplDaz3B0YLy6Cc6wLzKN1pCBZynZEuqOI68MwujnBHdr2NeL4vWA77uLgt34Lwe50koSmEDUYDMkzK0VtonLrvFXvh5x_c1XXe-Y/s1600/FBMKLCI.png" height="235" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马来西亚富时综合指数延续前周的上涨趋势走升 ,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
周五指数以1819挂收,全周上升10.78点。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
目前指数站上月线,受压在季线之下 。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
30只权值股,绝大部分持续获得资金支持,空头气势已被化解。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjJqB4fx52ZQqpI1bTfTmzU-vV_Brng-9HR3CRxqSIZhqRw5QQ4-njq-kiBfdj1q3pjXZOjOlHTZK_sUaaFPY-dMpOvJ1jNt-2t6O3CxNW4OqLZeipSYYWY6QOj4ZRpbFZAV-KcOFvODp4S/s1600/FBMKLCI20.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjJqB4fx52ZQqpI1bTfTmzU-vV_Brng-9HR3CRxqSIZhqRw5QQ4-njq-kiBfdj1q3pjXZOjOlHTZK_sUaaFPY-dMpOvJ1jNt-2t6O3CxNW4OqLZeipSYYWY6QOj4ZRpbFZAV-KcOFvODp4S/s1600/FBMKLCI20.png" height="235" width="320" /></a></div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
把时间框架拉长一些,可以从图表中察觉已有半数的权值股获得资金支持。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
指数突破月线已无疑虑,短期走势要偏多操作。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
法人指标方面,过去5个交易日法人则是偏向套利。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjkvhJCB7xKkKZs6qfOqqKNNOFO2tzL2onpDPH44eWXUGsrnM73CeG0y_THpeNFKt0r4gA2XDyh4I37Rif2p98SzjYWq1B6Df2A-L0_cufmSJwBHRjebfgBFUCpcfqTVOfNArnyxqBOyYpt/s1600/klcimf.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjkvhJCB7xKkKZs6qfOqqKNNOFO2tzL2onpDPH44eWXUGsrnM73CeG0y_THpeNFKt0r4gA2XDyh4I37Rif2p98SzjYWq1B6Df2A-L0_cufmSJwBHRjebfgBFUCpcfqTVOfNArnyxqBOyYpt/s1600/klcimf.png" height="207" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马来西亚股市资金流向图,外资继续撤离马来西亚股市。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
但撤资幅度已经减弱,也让这波短期反弹走势少了一些阻力。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
接下来就看能否突破1828点,反弹至1840阻力位。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjVmUJLAHq-GXb6Yf36zeLgW0cUhPiBolQiAz5IQe2XJUMGWeUkbA99KKX7AhFcLdenYhkgWXeN2kayIlt9RacHu_w-f-kHAxZ-tv7fNfq3HsQIARDtbP_dm1-r7SEEb6RHLmyXTr8qWegm/s1600/aseanmfl.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjVmUJLAHq-GXb6Yf36zeLgW0cUhPiBolQiAz5IQe2XJUMGWeUkbA99KKX7AhFcLdenYhkgWXeN2kayIlt9RacHu_w-f-kHAxZ-tv7fNfq3HsQIARDtbP_dm1-r7SEEb6RHLmyXTr8qWegm/s1600/aseanmfl.png" height="106" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
再把资金流向的观察范围扩大,看看国际热钱在亚洲四小虎股市的流向。 </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
过去一周,马来西亚继续是外资首要减码的市场。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
印尼股市相对的受外资的青睐。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi3ABkPeVsM73DRBSwv9fba2DdHZW0FMD2ZH-xNCgqYFeoOa28JG1MIVpf-r4z1zUDDauXCwgVitvwzPS9N1JAx80QZZpIpPWqXJNSh9xBbmPuPJaeCzpN8H94Af5qGBu7N2oIUkwVPpKav/s1600/myr.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi3ABkPeVsM73DRBSwv9fba2DdHZW0FMD2ZH-xNCgqYFeoOa28JG1MIVpf-r4z1zUDDauXCwgVitvwzPS9N1JAx80QZZpIpPWqXJNSh9xBbmPuPJaeCzpN8H94Af5qGBu7N2oIUkwVPpKav/s1600/myr.png" height="204" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
汇率方面,美元继续走弱,带动多数亚洲货币走强。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马币已突破月线,股指也站上月线。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
目前已是股汇双涨的格局。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
这对股市是有利的支持,股市风险也减低了一些。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiKzquPUK9KVOlc0grzS6aAjBsmDqC7Tb8nbw2QjnIhG4AJz2ymrIzi1Hj9YkQ7FTKr1KfidAacHGJF1kKMo9H9xmMSOV095HviNOwb_QR1qdm5tZmpUD5kebo-4I6Ly1UsdJTlYWKuCF6C/s1600/FKLI.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiKzquPUK9KVOlc0grzS6aAjBsmDqC7Tb8nbw2QjnIhG4AJz2ymrIzi1Hj9YkQ7FTKr1KfidAacHGJF1kKMo9H9xmMSOV095HviNOwb_QR1qdm5tZmpUD5kebo-4I6Ly1UsdJTlYWKuCF6C/s1600/FKLI.png" height="164" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
期货方面,留仓量并没多大的变动。</div>
月波动在74点范围之内。<br /><div style="text-align: center;">
短线上,期指持续反弹走势,但走势未明示转空。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
目前还是建议交易人顺势而为,空方讯号还未出现。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /><div style="text-align: center;">
总结:
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
指数处于月线之上,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
期指处于月线之上,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马币处于月线之上, </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
现货与期货是逆差价,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
外资继续保持流出趋势,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
综合指数权值股资金流入,</div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
预期行情走势还是偏向上升的反弹格局,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
但切勿对大多头行情有多大的期待。 </div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-85364457631628594632014-02-09T04:01:00.000-08:002014-02-09T04:01:26.424-08:00马来西亚股市简析(feb 07)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh5dU2aIJiVF3mOgj_5pIebeYq-Y9OzSqeYei1qhh3M832nJjmUfZ4Ioph666RKJ8RpgZfa3T6pzfSW9czxtdxGargSlOeknUDOfoA9hVc-JOqdHV1aQbC2T_QDmNamJVdCIqWg7iKR-2Wq/s1600/KLCICHART.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh5dU2aIJiVF3mOgj_5pIebeYq-Y9OzSqeYei1qhh3M832nJjmUfZ4Ioph666RKJ8RpgZfa3T6pzfSW9czxtdxGargSlOeknUDOfoA9hVc-JOqdHV1aQbC2T_QDmNamJVdCIqWg7iKR-2Wq/s1600/KLCICHART.png" height="111" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
农历年休假,笔者休假一周,博客停了一周没写,但环球金融局势依然在运作。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
过去4个交易日,马来西亚股市经历大跌大涨。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
最终富时综合指数以微涨4.57点,1808.6点闭市。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
目前 富时综合指数已从回月线阻力区,也就是短期走势压力区。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
究竟突破站稳月线的概率有多大?待会会有解释。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
小盘股指数方面,在农历开年第一周表现是强过大盘指数。 </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
本土投资机构过去几年都有相当大的部位投入小盘股。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
投行或一些所谓的投资大师也都提倡投资小盘股。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
随着去年,国际热钱逐步撤离马来西亚股市, </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
本土投资机构也吸纳了外资抛售的蓝筹股。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
在资金运用和投资组合规划上就有了很大约束,基金经理绝对会“去车保帅”。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
我们已有3个季度没看见小盘股指数“真正”突破新高“再创”新格局的走势。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjC86n0OzRcIFTY1JDPSugngYvef1TJ3v1N-ruMqvx-cP69DGD6-eXr9d1sJv6qFOEzIe3yjT_aTJ9ZQZ_Qu8HM1Q7GwFHUgTN-EpKrAoBFJVjDur4x4m6DWsnv3anx0NxE1clVofGhyphenhyphenNT-/s1600/KLCIcom.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjC86n0OzRcIFTY1JDPSugngYvef1TJ3v1N-ruMqvx-cP69DGD6-eXr9d1sJv6qFOEzIe3yjT_aTJ9ZQZ_Qu8HM1Q7GwFHUgTN-EpKrAoBFJVjDur4x4m6DWsnv3anx0NxE1clVofGhyphenhyphenNT-/s1600/KLCIcom.png" height="195" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
上方的图表是权值股资金流入或流出统计图,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
短线观察,综合指数短线多头行情已开始。指数也站上月线。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
如把时间框架再放大一些,用20日的资金统计资料分析,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
目前指数虽站上月线,但只有三分之一的权值股支持。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
这意味着当前指数上涨未必合乎强势转强情景。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
笔者期待更多的权值股表态支持多头,否则指数只是短线上的技术反弹。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhss4P9avAyVN8bdcJS1LnqtnyRVH4IPfqcFUfn2YldovhB5OzJIQCxp99hM4Wnk2MmanpCpjPP_kMbfoEUXpKg0uE1Fw2WhHYOCq7Ghxae9oq0_hJznJe9sOGjA34CQvwoMRNflURadsCT/s1600/KLCIMFL.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhss4P9avAyVN8bdcJS1LnqtnyRVH4IPfqcFUfn2YldovhB5OzJIQCxp99hM4Wnk2MmanpCpjPP_kMbfoEUXpKg0uE1Fw2WhHYOCq7Ghxae9oq0_hJznJe9sOGjA34CQvwoMRNflURadsCT/s1600/KLCIMFL.png" height="169" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马来西亚股市资金流向图,外资继续撤离马来西亚股市。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
如以2013年开始累计,外资部位已从净流入转为净流出。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
外资已成功在指数高位区全身而退,承接的是本土投资机构,买单的是基金持有人。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
如指数跌至1600点,外资也不会有多大的损伤。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhr_g72cPH0tL75WhYR1KF5LXHp5PZIwAIx0R0ZYiyQwxQYkHx0yYc_4rohFLO4oC3Tvdf8hy5fATBUWYYoXwC9ucCh27Jc6qsoF8FqWusphNoRdqZoW8GE_thTjid6SjStu8xtiANiHFBA/s1600/aseanmfl.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhr_g72cPH0tL75WhYR1KF5LXHp5PZIwAIx0R0ZYiyQwxQYkHx0yYc_4rohFLO4oC3Tvdf8hy5fATBUWYYoXwC9ucCh27Jc6qsoF8FqWusphNoRdqZoW8GE_thTjid6SjStu8xtiANiHFBA/s1600/aseanmfl.png" height="141" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
再把资金流向的观察范围扩大,看看国际热钱在亚洲四小虎股市的流向。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
恭喜!马来西亚荣获外资首要撤离的股市。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
即便泰国政局动乱,外资撤资的数额还是锁定马来西亚股市。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马来西亚和泰国是国际热钱主要和加速撤离的市场。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_DsCNLa4BifOiP1yA6ysWaUAwS6GOh0dNDztVrIqqrCX5xOmWbAp9t7VqUBSsNBJPabHErWL-CKc8ATe9sAlCVLimDMF7Om4NJXUc9VzYkyfEkUP0yKBK-MFcTi81XUvLJcDW7veDqGf6/s1600/MYR207.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_DsCNLa4BifOiP1yA6ysWaUAwS6GOh0dNDztVrIqqrCX5xOmWbAp9t7VqUBSsNBJPabHErWL-CKc8ATe9sAlCVLimDMF7Om4NJXUc9VzYkyfEkUP0yKBK-MFcTi81XUvLJcDW7veDqGf6/s1600/MYR207.png" height="206" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
汇率方面,美元走弱,亚洲货币多数走强。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马币继续受压在月线之下,股指则站上月线。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
短线观察,股市风险是减低了一些。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgWjjIDCcnrkTAXvXzW1NWL9xJHnnIh0yUQduM983xcpnQV-IqQm6hyphenhyphenUiuzfNz_zj5AlMwqwRvB7QG-06ITAb7dCc-BBwJdsDnXorThl7W9bJVFXT1yDqtXo9XbQHTzxqKh1laP3l4e2ABu/s1600/FKLI.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgWjjIDCcnrkTAXvXzW1NWL9xJHnnIh0yUQduM983xcpnQV-IqQm6hyphenhyphenUiuzfNz_zj5AlMwqwRvB7QG-06ITAb7dCc-BBwJdsDnXorThl7W9bJVFXT1yDqtXo9XbQHTzxqKh1laP3l4e2ABu/s1600/FKLI.png" height="189" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
期货方面,2月留仓 量和过去数月比较量是比较小。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
这意味着2月不会有太的波动行情发生。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
走势行情的波幅可以用ATR指标作交易规划。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
短线上,期指出现反弹走势,但走势未明示转空。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
绝佳的“放空”时间还需耐心等待。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
总结:
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
指数处于月线之上,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
期指处于月线之上,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马币处于月线之下, </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
现货与期货是逆差价,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
外资继续保持流出趋势,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
综合指数权值股资金流入,</div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
预期行情走势还是偏向弱势反弹格局,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
切勿对大多头行情有多大的期待。 </div>
</div>
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-37989018466541443712014-01-26T04:18:00.000-08:002014-01-26T04:18:39.055-08:00马来西亚股市简析(JAN24)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgzqhD71D4YBE-NL5ugdDn4C1r_YOTYzoukOvDMkez-OMMgxNYxNapmMMSYgEBKiMewLU6NI12FklSn17EIiXmfMjB816Y-8ZNAG8B4nzF04qbjWk4atphB87fEdYKrhyHxxB0zGNSDL2S5/s1600/DAILY.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgzqhD71D4YBE-NL5ugdDn4C1r_YOTYzoukOvDMkez-OMMgxNYxNapmMMSYgEBKiMewLU6NI12FklSn17EIiXmfMjB816Y-8ZNAG8B4nzF04qbjWk4atphB87fEdYKrhyHxxB0zGNSDL2S5/s1600/DAILY.png" height="141" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
富时近月期指(FKLI)走势图。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马来西亚富时综合指数(FBMKLCI)延续下跌趋势再往下跌,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
周五指数以1802挂收,全周下跌10点。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
近月期指(FKLI)则下跌12点。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
短线形态上, 近月期指(FKLI)头部形态极为明示。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiV1r2p_qviPjfz4Wu9zsdaTKU3jFiJrd712NnVHyqwZDiUHKnNaNmIjJEaBDS0xuaQ1MjBXmwTHQrmtlpbzKqLcBifhgPGoYMtT8anL6Vde15dt342SD-2A_zzo-9OP4BG7OQH035ZHx42/s1600/WEEK.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiV1r2p_qviPjfz4Wu9zsdaTKU3jFiJrd712NnVHyqwZDiUHKnNaNmIjJEaBDS0xuaQ1MjBXmwTHQrmtlpbzKqLcBifhgPGoYMtT8anL6Vde15dt342SD-2A_zzo-9OP4BG7OQH035ZHx42/s1600/WEEK.png" height="141" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
如把时间框架放大至周线图,整个长线上涨趋势还未彻底被破坏。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
在技术层面,重要的支持点还是要给与关注。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGF_pa3-Nnzj07uJYww1JsJjTSl3V3SJdYk_qRV6AxxtfRzEITbWFte5jZE_26sDQoCfPjipQ6BLPKnXaq7eHdS1utBWgQKUATZqJfZi0IIX6QXbYe9oGKLqIgI1ZW3TQuuGD90OPSb9vw/s1600/KLCIFLOW.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjGF_pa3-Nnzj07uJYww1JsJjTSl3V3SJdYk_qRV6AxxtfRzEITbWFte5jZE_26sDQoCfPjipQ6BLPKnXaq7eHdS1utBWgQKUATZqJfZi0IIX6QXbYe9oGKLqIgI1ZW3TQuuGD90OPSb9vw/s1600/KLCIFLOW.png" height="245" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
股市资金流向方面,外资是持续撤离股市。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
近期的卖压多来自外资,筹码都由本土投资机构和散户承接。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
目前还未出现任何指数或股市止跌的迹象。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgL-0ScKyjvt5t4TQVzmiZ4eAaZgRtLaZiv7Igj-QJxZ8RGX52FizQ7vN75PJBXAWtO9jzsjebuzia2-6cXLCjPGg1LIPjQ3xDmBkwanGTJWK-pzpZw0l4sWuUTbLQKAHCbyssP_mzsPoPL/s1600/SCAP.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgL-0ScKyjvt5t4TQVzmiZ4eAaZgRtLaZiv7Igj-QJxZ8RGX52FizQ7vN75PJBXAWtO9jzsjebuzia2-6cXLCjPGg1LIPjQ3xDmBkwanGTJWK-pzpZw0l4sWuUTbLQKAHCbyssP_mzsPoPL/s1600/SCAP.png" height="253" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
投资人应该已知道,去年12月富时综合指数的突破创历史高点是场梦。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
目前富时综合指数也已经回吐所有涨幅。<br />
那小盘股指数可有走高或不跌的实际面支持?</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
从二个指数比列观察,小盘股已经接近沸点。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjuUBEHe6-vFosW-3QWUXHbBU05yke2jDGjgf2ISIZIXJNHr5lG6ik-M9k4oBwdoQrlf5CjQb93WcJepg1cWOC8Y5vAiXBN0fk51aXv92qJwLSRMWhIYWMwQmPf-jvg87B9BFYrHX0jOd56/s1600/MYR.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjuUBEHe6-vFosW-3QWUXHbBU05yke2jDGjgf2ISIZIXJNHr5lG6ik-M9k4oBwdoQrlf5CjQb93WcJepg1cWOC8Y5vAiXBN0fk51aXv92qJwLSRMWhIYWMwQmPf-jvg87B9BFYrHX0jOd56/s1600/MYR.png" height="124" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
汇率方面,美元指数一周跌了1%,但马币还是偏弱。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马来西亚是股汇债齐跌。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj2i9WLcOwEaLaG2fQa0x15v8I0JCUm0r6VAjJnbU8J10bbMAXo0Owoij-YXKBOPbLaWdvEjMAPcfnNDRMzj_FnGKOskK6H0-gTqsP3UbKTKLiak7BfzRmVEkuZB_3CpUo28iNF747Ted5f/s1600/FKLIOI.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj2i9WLcOwEaLaG2fQa0x15v8I0JCUm0r6VAjJnbU8J10bbMAXo0Owoij-YXKBOPbLaWdvEjMAPcfnNDRMzj_FnGKOskK6H0-gTqsP3UbKTKLiak7BfzRmVEkuZB_3CpUo28iNF747Ted5f/s1600/FKLIOI.png" height="194" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
期货方面,1月留仓 量只减少12%。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
接下来几个交易日就是期货结算,周一的留仓量增减透漏未来行情趋向。</div>
</div>
周一预期期指会继续往下,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
周二周三由于转仓关系,或让指数出现反弹行情。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
交易人可要留意。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
总结:
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
指数处于月线之下,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
期指处于月线之下,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马币处于月线之下, </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
现货与期货是逆差价,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
外资继续保持流出趋势,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
综合指数权值股资金流出,</div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
预期行情走势还是偏向弱势,</div>
指数过去一周已经错过转向往上机会,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
也透露了股市多方气势已去。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-3536340656826355602014-01-19T04:15:00.000-08:002014-01-19T04:15:33.713-08:00马来西亚股市简析(JAN17)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgtgg6igemKOrJF5qoF523E7PnfNxQkHIqKb4X4goCU-B76t5yGIdoWck82FSONmhdyGS0dc8Y7ReUopP99U85gdQMio2xg6ab8v1d7H2QOREyGcDXuEkYl6mewG_jmNTrXfk85KAJzl4Vh/s1600/FBMKLCI.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgtgg6igemKOrJF5qoF523E7PnfNxQkHIqKb4X4goCU-B76t5yGIdoWck82FSONmhdyGS0dc8Y7ReUopP99U85gdQMio2xg6ab8v1d7H2QOREyGcDXuEkYl6mewG_jmNTrXfk85KAJzl4Vh/s1600/FBMKLCI.png" height="303" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
马来西亚富时综合指数延续前周的下跌趋势再往下跌,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
周五指数以1813挂收,全周下跌13.6点。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
指数已跌破季线,短中期走势已不乐观 。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
如要化解当前颓势,指数需在接下来一周内须作出强劲的大回弹。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgdDuMjtioV-PpxZNGHCOC8XjSPYR1GymRwVYReP6aa-gvRQfcW_PFSBvNtdlJLDqgvLVp1xTvExHPWTPNBfgKHAzVJSXDC3eAe2oRe-u6hhrOqNAU48Wnf3y60BkNF0E9wInLNfB_smtyz/s1600/KLCIMFL.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgdDuMjtioV-PpxZNGHCOC8XjSPYR1GymRwVYReP6aa-gvRQfcW_PFSBvNtdlJLDqgvLVp1xTvExHPWTPNBfgKHAzVJSXDC3eAe2oRe-u6hhrOqNAU48Wnf3y60BkNF0E9wInLNfB_smtyz/s1600/KLCIMFL.png" height="157" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
资金流向方面,外资加大资金流出规模,局势并不乐观。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
30只权值股,大部分资金偏向流出,富时指数压力极大。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjhHcI4e6EIdYNt_E97RBMnf9mgFbBiMvW03vWC3gsVvNuGkh8W1uwHeeKpNOig1fUgQDhVKiFhex4cF6nj697o5bUGTxwJaEVjiJSoyw1eZghB_ECklA3c88NBVmWsYaRCG7fZeQdIAWjf/s1600/MYR.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjhHcI4e6EIdYNt_E97RBMnf9mgFbBiMvW03vWC3gsVvNuGkh8W1uwHeeKpNOig1fUgQDhVKiFhex4cF6nj697o5bUGTxwJaEVjiJSoyw1eZghB_ECklA3c88NBVmWsYaRCG7fZeQdIAWjf/s1600/MYR.png" height="123" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
汇率方面,美元一周涨了0.77%,亚洲货币再走跌,马币也不例外。<br />
马币再度跌破月线,股市与债市再次走跌。 </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
从循坏图观察,马来西亚股汇都属于弱势状态。 </div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjxqxqiMOqD9FHC5snAOvwToe4oBtc-CCTt2CXR5xK5uPp0oiNI98i_tmsQ7qQIb6VexIIaSAYkhEPxA5t-RDpO2ty8_Che8BPeWi0s0eVwIvAIE5Dxeks-KUbJvfm2STKw11l-E4X1C__u/s1600/usdewm.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjxqxqiMOqD9FHC5snAOvwToe4oBtc-CCTt2CXR5xK5uPp0oiNI98i_tmsQ7qQIb6VexIIaSAYkhEPxA5t-RDpO2ty8_Che8BPeWi0s0eVwIvAIE5Dxeks-KUbJvfm2STKw11l-E4X1C__u/s1600/usdewm.png" height="320" width="268" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
上面的线图是MSCI马来西亚指数ETF(EWM)与美元指数的相关性走势图。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
大部分时间,EWM的走势和美元指数是负相关的关系。 </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
这可以说马币弱或美元强对马来西亚股市是比较负面的。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
另张图是EWM与SP500相关性走势图。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
大部分时间,EWM的走势和SP500 是正相关的关系。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
可以解读说美国走强对马来西亚股市大致上是正面的。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
但这状况在去年12月开始,这迹象已不复存在,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马来西亚股市与美国股市已呈现负相关的走势关系。 </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
股市投资人已不可单纯的认为美股走升,马来西亚股市也会走升。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
</div>
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh3Z4vVPHAkfhkGTZWSY0EUpEtQuCjB3icEgVS5FheJ7SktVckwYN-_0D1zwrvKy9c53k24KtfsO_DiPGWuLh4XES50MX4L12HDTu80gB5s56jVAr8szTclJtaqajCaz5pnTjHDhHDJXK2W/s1600/FKLI.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh3Z4vVPHAkfhkGTZWSY0EUpEtQuCjB3icEgVS5FheJ7SktVckwYN-_0D1zwrvKy9c53k24KtfsO_DiPGWuLh4XES50MX4L12HDTu80gB5s56jVAr8szTclJtaqajCaz5pnTjHDhHDJXK2W/s1600/FKLI.png" height="171" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
期货方面,1月留仓 量只减少8.7%。<br />
还是老话一句,在留仓量没大幅度减少前,交易人避免“猜底“交易。</div>
目前期指还在往下寻底的阶段,接下来这周期指波动会更大。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
总结:
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
指数处于月线之下,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
期指处于月线之下,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马币处于月线之下, </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
现货与期货是正差价,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
外资继续保持流出趋势,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
综合指数权值股资金流出,</div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
预期行情走势还是偏向弱势,除非能出现极大的买盘支持指数强弹,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
短期弱势才有机会化解。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
</div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-22922121392934819652014-01-12T04:59:00.002-08:002014-01-12T05:14:17.835-08:00国际股市简析(JAN10)<div style="text-align: center;">
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiq_nLMupUfrdRQnN-N-63aogW5U9NvVuquQCOaoXNjE71D-jpRTp__QBsLOeyoe_q33Tpsb07afPfoiGzZm0W7EL5VyfpV_UzWCLCm-3niFp0jeJIZxT21veo7aFceFM5N2srzxs4LEZIP/s1600/WORLD.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiq_nLMupUfrdRQnN-N-63aogW5U9NvVuquQCOaoXNjE71D-jpRTp__QBsLOeyoe_q33Tpsb07afPfoiGzZm0W7EL5VyfpV_UzWCLCm-3niFp0jeJIZxT21veo7aFceFM5N2srzxs4LEZIP/s1600/WORLD.png" height="320" width="250" /></a></div>
2014年,过了7个交易日。<br />
看看部分国家股市表现 ,“满江红”。<br />
港日股市跌幅都接近2%,中国股市跌幅接近5%。<br />
至于热钱的资金流向,还是偏向欧美日市场。<br />
东协国家,大部分国家热钱还是流出,股市跌深的泰国则有热钱流入。<br />
大部分跌深的股市出现反弹,美日股市开始涨不动,黄金和美债开始蠢蠢欲动。<br />
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgfVkQjyevCj6hgmeNp3z8GZaUnTEfd7qMsiveSHih_uf_TfH_H6QIl9j6WDyB7YWRbJ-jfGh1SD_ERpwZkVpbA9puyfviyKCX4s75Mzn6_PvtWviLT0-PMYeXcgTloVGvjJryqyiV3wFFM/s1600/dji1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgfVkQjyevCj6hgmeNp3z8GZaUnTEfd7qMsiveSHih_uf_TfH_H6QIl9j6WDyB7YWRbJ-jfGh1SD_ERpwZkVpbA9puyfviyKCX4s75Mzn6_PvtWviLT0-PMYeXcgTloVGvjJryqyiV3wFFM/s1600/dji1.png" height="181" width="320" /></a></div>
道指一周波动并不大,一周小跌0.20%。<br />
道指资金动能并不是很稳定,指数要再创高是有压力的。<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEguXrZhJtBeU-g9e-yNsaV4vvlTY3tisSLWhvMom2S9uNxwHn1yM0JujkPxBwzuLcp-dsDLt5thz2A1v8Ek0c8xpA_rsVPVJZHjC3bD-72No943ZIRXZCOVA6FWFAkEkFjvqkNIvKkc2f5L/s1600/mcc010.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEguXrZhJtBeU-g9e-yNsaV4vvlTY3tisSLWhvMom2S9uNxwHn1yM0JujkPxBwzuLcp-dsDLt5thz2A1v8Ek0c8xpA_rsVPVJZHjC3bD-72No943ZIRXZCOVA6FWFAkEkFjvqkNIvKkc2f5L/s1600/mcc010.png" height="99" width="320" /></a></div>
这图是mcclellan-oscillator,指标涵盖美国上涨家数与下跌家数做统计的指标。<br />
目前数据,还未有不妥的迹象,想空美股还要忍一会。 <br />
有关指标介绍可以参考以下网址:<br />
<a href="http://stockcharts.com/help/doku.php?id=chart_school:technical_indicators:mcclellan_oscillator" target="_blank">http://stockcharts.com/help/doku.php?id=chart_school:technical_indicators:mcclellan_oscillator</a><br />
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgQrAeCGkpxZZ_7dktubv5YTo906PQFz3uyuW7ciFFbOEFK-xJ8qRdGZJKe2PVMAR37nV_mNSZoKV4qDZJW8fjoOQGhL_M-yfLCgGuctUfja2dtS426qIUviFZKth2Z7cv1f6JRD2xTmAt2/s1600/RISK.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgQrAeCGkpxZZ_7dktubv5YTo906PQFz3uyuW7ciFFbOEFK-xJ8qRdGZJKe2PVMAR37nV_mNSZoKV4qDZJW8fjoOQGhL_M-yfLCgGuctUfja2dtS426qIUviFZKth2Z7cv1f6JRD2xTmAt2/s1600/RISK.png" height="242" width="320" /></a></div>
这图表主要是观察美国市场风险的指标,以理解当下的市场风险状态。<br />
指标统计考量元素包括债市和股市的数据变动所延伸出来的风险。<br />
这对投资人资金控管上有很大的帮助。<br />
在<a href="http://shandian.biz/tag/usa" target="_blank">美国</a>投资界流行一对名
词叫“Risk on”和“Risk off”用来形容两种完全对立的市场情绪。<br />
Risk
on的时候,投资者对风险没有畏惧,选择大举进入股市、大宗商品和贵金属市场,购买澳元,抛弃美元和美国国债。到了Risk
off的时候,所有资金都因害怕风险逃离股市、大宗商品和贵金属市场,买入美元和美国国债。这两种情绪在不同时期交替主宰世界资本市场。<br />
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgfNwdAh-Xhyphenhyphen8VOUnBdg0HkxtK4X24rpV5gmMHSLqMjN6gZuh8bOcrkoE0Od4EwAByhmYmy_T7g1rOTbXkJ8glYI7Izj-p7NwK9JqeI1mN0To-Crl9q_VKeXuKxjTu_aJkW651CBoCkfAFi/s1600/CFTC.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgfNwdAh-Xhyphenhyphen8VOUnBdg0HkxtK4X24rpV5gmMHSLqMjN6gZuh8bOcrkoE0Od4EwAByhmYmy_T7g1rOTbXkJ8glYI7Izj-p7NwK9JqeI1mN0To-Crl9q_VKeXuKxjTu_aJkW651CBoCkfAFi/s1600/CFTC.png" height="248" width="320" /></a></div>
<br />
CFTC报告,金银铜不能过度偏空操作了,当全球股市调整时,<br />
这些商品或许会有不错的上涨潜能。<br />
VIX指数,3周内杠杆基金再减空头部位。<br />
市场风险不可忽视!<br />
<br />
<br />
<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" style="width: 474px;"><colgroup><col span="3" width="70"></col><col span="3" width="88"></col></colgroup><tbody>
<tr height="27">
<td class="xl64" height="27" style="height: 20.25pt; width: 53pt;" width="70"></td>
<td class="xl64" style="width: 53pt;" width="70"></td>
<td class="xl64" style="width: 53pt;" width="70"></td>
<td class="xl64" style="width: 66pt;" width="88"></td>
<td class="xl64" style="width: 66pt;" width="88"></td>
<td class="xl65" style="width: 66pt;" width="88"></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
</div>
<br /><div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-88271972388191146642014-01-12T02:20:00.001-08:002014-01-12T02:20:16.169-08:00马来西亚股市简析(JAN 10) <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_1_nv9bnBVd3Cpnstf4ArrY9-NKYF5KbQS4UXoZfzIryctOYfKfd9kZiM0q_gyBVXxJwBhPHwtaL4EPvHt5xlJqyMFg8Td1gaoBWhJk-HuKMEZaLmfeMHSZmZZ5u4AEqq-VOdN871OqZ2/s1600/KLCICHART.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_1_nv9bnBVd3Cpnstf4ArrY9-NKYF5KbQS4UXoZfzIryctOYfKfd9kZiM0q_gyBVXxJwBhPHwtaL4EPvHt5xlJqyMFg8Td1gaoBWhJk-HuKMEZaLmfeMHSZmZZ5u4AEqq-VOdN871OqZ2/s1600/KLCICHART.png" height="299" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马来西亚富时综合指数延续前周的下跌趋势再往下跌,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
周五指数以1826.61挂收,全周下跌8.4点。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
目前指数在季线获得支持,指数有机会止跌,但还是受压于月线之下。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
指数需要时间做横向整理,波动区间就在月线与季线之间。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjWH2ixcaAAQW8KbpYSkWEis8tCMFjme93mjK-4p-8OzgGyClw_U_gSv1GrFvLzhFwbiqssbW_W3oVoX9f5mhyT0yF4h2buea_kyTbnlW-LxjP1y9703KsLgZMVVniX1kvnLRLXs8TnrYtO/s1600/KLMFL.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjWH2ixcaAAQW8KbpYSkWEis8tCMFjme93mjK-4p-8OzgGyClw_U_gSv1GrFvLzhFwbiqssbW_W3oVoX9f5mhyT0yF4h2buea_kyTbnlW-LxjP1y9703KsLgZMVVniX1kvnLRLXs8TnrYtO/s1600/KLMFL.png" height="181" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
至于,30只权值股资金流向统计。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
资金还是偏向流出权值股,指数并没很强的资金动能支持,指数反弹幅度也弱。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
休假回来的外资,大体上也没继续加码股市,而是小量流出。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
短线外资趋势是偏向流出的。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh9f_f5w8F19OPBRKgqxj3LCnb2m4_xLNAM-x4VD1EmkdNVponxNQWUTUsrFBXL5BwyEyAgNn02VzI-AzDbD_GiTC8cCkMOMmMWTiihvTaY1vohIaNx6C65-xj-6-KTROThIU7ej9G8byWB/s1600/MYR0110.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh9f_f5w8F19OPBRKgqxj3LCnb2m4_xLNAM-x4VD1EmkdNVponxNQWUTUsrFBXL5BwyEyAgNn02VzI-AzDbD_GiTC8cCkMOMmMWTiihvTaY1vohIaNx6C65-xj-6-KTROThIU7ej9G8byWB/s1600/MYR0110.png" height="176" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
汇率方面,美元在周四和周五都走弱,亚洲货币出现回弹,马币也不例外。<br />
马币开始回弹也从新站上月线,股市与债市恢复稳定。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
利率先行于汇率,汇率先行于股市,股市先行于实体经济。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
汇率回稳,股市继续大跌的机率就会大减。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
至于富时综合指数与月线乖离幅度还是负值,乖离幅度还在扩大。<br />
短期还是处于空头格局,压力点1855。 支持1820点。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
波动区间在30点范围。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgo2K9ZhSoESir558tQNgSBW8CzXLtd3b2HtI5FKPrf2Z4gRwVTymDA1v49Q4_JXRTQrzl86jYqhKs00GhiZPjNI2PtNoo0z2PxYo2K3sgFaQbf2KpuZt1Kv837Akn9DN3MdK3fV-nHFo5h/s1600/FKLI.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgo2K9ZhSoESir558tQNgSBW8CzXLtd3b2HtI5FKPrf2Z4gRwVTymDA1v49Q4_JXRTQrzl86jYqhKs00GhiZPjNI2PtNoo0z2PxYo2K3sgFaQbf2KpuZt1Kv837Akn9DN3MdK3fV-nHFo5h/s1600/FKLI.png" height="183" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /><div style="text-align: center;">
期货方面,1月留仓量小幅度减少7%。<br />
在留仓量没大幅度减少前,交易人避免“猜底“交易。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
期指交易人除了留意OI,还有就是期货与现货的筹码变动。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
总结:
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
指数处于月线之下,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
期指处于月线之下,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马币处于月线之上, </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
现货与期货是逆差价,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
外资继续保持流出趋势,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
综合指数权值股资金流出,</div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
预期行情走势还是偏向弱势,如能以盘整代替下跌,短期弱势才有机会化解。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-34195562000867938972014-01-05T04:11:00.000-08:002014-01-05T04:11:20.053-08:00马来西亚股市简析(JAN 03)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi1fRcAhqbu_CNLOLhBsXPIw65CqQ4nIF6R29Ukvk7t1x1EBJEU-pa7jKYQgXJYP8O-ElW16LiWADqIbFr4og05SiJdvuzByZUTHJ2dtQaT1qG1gga4UT4ocj82Hv_Y1dPbqq6qj4Mhg8n6/s1600/FBMKLCI.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="148" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi1fRcAhqbu_CNLOLhBsXPIw65CqQ4nIF6R29Ukvk7t1x1EBJEU-pa7jKYQgXJYP8O-ElW16LiWADqIbFr4og05SiJdvuzByZUTHJ2dtQaT1qG1gga4UT4ocj82Hv_Y1dPbqq6qj4Mhg8n6/s320/FBMKLCI.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjvumbedO61RwJcNKT2z65BM9Up_OCoFclIyYZyn29LB2MmtSO0UUbbYQqpUORXw-WU0I22Uz25jukiTRzuXcUd-BIKd6xV_iLw2qkjQJzIkLzYrBFcy-vhhl169ETkJuEmr7FRTSega-X4/s1600/fbmklci+(2).png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><br /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马来西亚股市开年不利,短短2个交易日就回收了过去2周的涨幅。<br />
富时综合指数周五以1834.74点挂收。一周大跌26点。<br />
指数同时也失守月线与2周均线。<br />
马来西亚MSCI指数表现更弱,指数同时失守周,月与季线。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi3Px38_3qsGehEydufo1Ivf5yy2W402yyCCFAR7r1z2U1RBvWt0g9NMGolaj-ZAxPH5ifPSOw2MRg9_Jc-GlRm4vK1O4Em5fuIzOV8DHKUAO4a9atETbQSeqmG-mbrXL-06KXWfPTvEMqk/s1600/fbmklci+%25282%2529.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="159" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi3Px38_3qsGehEydufo1Ivf5yy2W402yyCCFAR7r1z2U1RBvWt0g9NMGolaj-ZAxPH5ifPSOw2MRg9_Jc-GlRm4vK1O4Em5fuIzOV8DHKUAO4a9atETbQSeqmG-mbrXL-06KXWfPTvEMqk/s320/fbmklci+%25282%2529.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
图表显示,30只权值股资金流向统计。<br />
指标转折迹象在12月31日出现,1月2日收盘数据确认短线势头转空,<br />
1月3日指数跌破月线,更加确认短期空头确立。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
外资在2013年的最后2个交易日入场拉升指数为的是12月期指在高位结算。<br />
目标完成后,预期外资会继续流出马来西亚。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhgschOK5fhY4oDd76_qrfZnuTi3azjEMdsghVvffBgxz-lM9jVNOY8OPM1l3MS6b6fl0lpE7YyLT1G-3UhzyI-nQsknIdrk43j8Qu7OHVnvoBNddMx32XEdLrrR3UCnTEDOlDR5k-wsIuN/s1600/MYR.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="182" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhgschOK5fhY4oDd76_qrfZnuTi3azjEMdsghVvffBgxz-lM9jVNOY8OPM1l3MS6b6fl0lpE7YyLT1G-3UhzyI-nQsknIdrk43j8Qu7OHVnvoBNddMx32XEdLrrR3UCnTEDOlDR5k-wsIuN/s320/MYR.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
汇率方面,在美元继续走升情况下,马币继续走弱。<br />
马币继续处于月线之下,乖离幅度已缩小。<br />
至于富时综合指数与月线乖离幅度已经转为负值。<br />
短期已经入空头格局,压力点1855。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjApXduTCH-2dmDzbCF3qwKw7Zj0Sd9qGuA2cjRtlmxjmVGlUjm5Sg9ihdDCOETOu1-TRvNA4xVRh8-c-imZRZfrumNV8BaaernW49iYyHMqNqQ6Glpj0joSuYdV8QSgWOEKFhPVOLbECZs/s1600/FKLI.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="184" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjApXduTCH-2dmDzbCF3qwKw7Zj0Sd9qGuA2cjRtlmxjmVGlUjm5Sg9ihdDCOETOu1-TRvNA4xVRh8-c-imZRZfrumNV8BaaernW49iYyHMqNqQ6Glpj0joSuYdV8QSgWOEKFhPVOLbECZs/s320/FKLI.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
期货方面,1月留仓量和过去一样偏高。<br />
在留仓量没大幅度减少前,交易人避免“猜底“交易。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
即便短线上指数会有小反弹的机会,但站在“空方”角度压力点也都是空方交易机会。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
总结:
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
指数处于月线之下,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
期指处于月线之下,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马币处于月线之下, </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
现货与期货是正差价,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
外资继续保持流出趋势,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
综合指数权值股资金流出,</div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
预期行情走势偏向弱 势,支持点往下看1820点。 </div>
</div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-6351570089760711412013-12-29T05:35:00.001-08:002013-12-29T05:42:00.444-08:00亚洲四小虎是否还有投资吸引力?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhOH49fenTf2jVrx1nWTR0v1dquU-gKbvKpKsAKZsWG0flnn2wTPjojoFAeqEPLr1E-VYadfj2NQnP7w1y6WzRjGeNm4sYzTr4GYHF9FpwtKXYdsBT-p65X8VEnQysZgCUPB0xyCsUtzQmQ/s1600/asean.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="200" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhOH49fenTf2jVrx1nWTR0v1dquU-gKbvKpKsAKZsWG0flnn2wTPjojoFAeqEPLr1E-VYadfj2NQnP7w1y6WzRjGeNm4sYzTr4GYHF9FpwtKXYdsBT-p65X8VEnQysZgCUPB0xyCsUtzQmQ/s320/asean.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
东协国家在美国实行一系列QE政策后,金融市场膨胀速度极大。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
但2013年第一季度开始,国际热钱就开始挑市场撤资,把资金转向日本和美欧市场。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
2013年第二季度后,这趋势就更明示。随着 QE确认会逐步缩减,美股与债息走升。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
热钱加速撤离问题相对大的东协国家。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhligBwbJlsdEMEhJrEIbesAaoZGR6WNB6CiHAN0ELdL74UFZq2jLFqdjQjGwdemuzpN-KGvwl6aEajkYOUBLMMgDkGmCB-9GMkaJTWANoWV6nCCsOPYKXQvCwRS0kjNRYpYSZ9nyDvUCYm/s1600/ASEAN1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhligBwbJlsdEMEhJrEIbesAaoZGR6WNB6CiHAN0ELdL74UFZq2jLFqdjQjGwdemuzpN-KGvwl6aEajkYOUBLMMgDkGmCB-9GMkaJTWANoWV6nCCsOPYKXQvCwRS0kjNRYpYSZ9nyDvUCYm/s320/ASEAN1.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span class="userContent">为何热钱陆续从东协国家股市撤出资金?<br /> 这是印马泰菲的贸易盈余占GDP比重。<br /> 看出问题了吗?</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span class="userContent"> </span> 热钱是有策划性的随着国家的健康状况作资金调节。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg5hvK2goMHA2IPjeWXHvcjAv_3sFjYid5VluwHL2lWeY3w3hw9Ft47Ti5C7axsMYFW9JGDofa-4T9lfnpGlz4aOLC33YofXBwSX4pQTGh85uWa1YpmEXqjUxDAH3QHzC35L9PxxcujteLY/s1600/ASEAN2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg5hvK2goMHA2IPjeWXHvcjAv_3sFjYid5VluwHL2lWeY3w3hw9Ft47Ti5C7axsMYFW9JGDofa-4T9lfnpGlz4aOLC33YofXBwSX4pQTGh85uWa1YpmEXqjUxDAH3QHzC35L9PxxcujteLY/s320/ASEAN2.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span class="userContent">看了东协国家贸易盈余问题,开始要担心国家负债问题。<br /> 特别是美债利率已往上走。东协国家债息也随之走高。</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span class="userContent">要再用以债养债的方式刺激经济,成本已经加大,外加贸易赤字。</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span class="userContent">压力可不小,看看印马泰菲负债情况。</span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh3_YVim2WODODbQzFh_xdXoMY5PSPsSzV4F8KUTrZ_EPtHY7yC7gW7aDedDRkIvcEIHyVEVoZ2e0-Hz2hyphenhyphenIskGCGiZaNDwiKbNBhnAVLfHtPn7hHam_Qik-S0RRUmmNyEtdPOrBFSNpJpp/s1600/ASEAN3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="188" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh3_YVim2WODODbQzFh_xdXoMY5PSPsSzV4F8KUTrZ_EPtHY7yC7gW7aDedDRkIvcEIHyVEVoZ2e0-Hz2hyphenhyphenIskGCGiZaNDwiKbNBhnAVLfHtPn7hHam_Qik-S0RRUmmNyEtdPOrBFSNpJpp/s320/ASEAN3.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhaBVSxaxkCms-80EBYE3AEYKrnI5rRxBpnjJHVU6Aq2tmJZqZwVxzJOlWiEtZJUhG0tYyWBDyXIqnloqmbBsCW6fx3drKKaXKX-WzwgVb-475Qw42j0Wa97Y96XlvywCeyYWoEPx-eO9nC/s1600/ASEAN5.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="203" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhaBVSxaxkCms-80EBYE3AEYKrnI5rRxBpnjJHVU6Aq2tmJZqZwVxzJOlWiEtZJUhG0tYyWBDyXIqnloqmbBsCW6fx3drKKaXKX-WzwgVb-475Qw42j0Wa97Y96XlvywCeyYWoEPx-eO9nC/s320/ASEAN5.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span class="userContent"><span class="userContent">这2张图显示东协国家政府的开支和负债与GDP比率。<br /> 看看马来西亚和泰国,为了赢得选举作了很多讨好选民的政策。</span></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span class="userContent"><span class="userContent">如果国家</span></span><span class="userContent"><span class="userContent"><span class="userContent"><span class="userContent">负债与GDP比率较高但能换取稳健的经济增长和社会稳定。</span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span class="userContent"><span class="userContent"><span class="userContent"><span class="userContent">这问题倒不大,如新加坡 </span></span></span></span><span class="userContent"><span class="userContent"><span class="userContent"><span class="userContent"><span class="userContent"><span class="userContent">负债与GDP比率是98%。</span></span></span></span></span></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
新加坡的政府资金主要来自于中央政府通过长年的对雇主和雇员的强制储蓄(中央年金)。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
资金的大部分运用于三个用途:</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
(1)有关民生的基础设施建设,例如政
府廉租房、地铁、道路、医院、学校。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
(2)工业基础设施建设,例如工厂用地、发电和填海造田。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
(3)建立政府企业。例如建立了新加坡政府投资公司。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
淡马锡
控股公司、新电信、新加坡航空、星展银行、新加坡电力和吉宝集团等企业。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
民生设施的建设,使得新加坡居民的生活得到了显著的改善,工业基础设施的建设,使
得新加坡向现代化国家迈进。除了个别国有企业有巨额亏损之外,大部分的国有企业在海外和国内的投资和生产都经营有道。所以,“取之于民用之于民”的举债理
念在新加坡得到了较好的体现。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
国债余额虽然高,却并没有发生债务危机。这一切都是国家效率管理与政治廉洁。 </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span class="userContent"><span class="userContent">2014年,如不幸发生任何金融风暴。<br /> 暴点会是印尼或泰国。<br /> 其余都是火烧连环船,四面楚歌。</span></span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span class="userContent"><span class="userContent"> </span> </span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-48136355363544519732013-12-29T01:39:00.003-08:002013-12-29T01:42:29.068-08:00马来西亚股市简析(DEC27)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_2wtjH6nGLT-R9TAptFXxGlxxx-sL8MC_kc4yTa0mxS-CIIdSm0Xlzgtxd_QdPX_Zj82GcwvC09RFASKjSlpBabaZI_88AouRYi9XNTISwQknxS-1AOCEEDHiKryGs0kfhqTpioTEHijD/s1600/FBMKLCI1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="217" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg_2wtjH6nGLT-R9TAptFXxGlxxx-sL8MC_kc4yTa0mxS-CIIdSm0Xlzgtxd_QdPX_Zj82GcwvC09RFASKjSlpBabaZI_88AouRYi9XNTISwQknxS-1AOCEEDHiKryGs0kfhqTpioTEHijD/s320/FBMKLCI1.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
随着美国股市不断创高,马来西亚股市也是少数东协股市靠着“内资”支持而走高的市场。<br />
一周大涨23点,以1861.1点挂收。<br />
图表显示,这已是外资第12周撤离马来西亚股市,累计12周撤离58亿零吉。<br />
随着一周外资交易趋淡,内资继续推升指数走高。<br />
每逢12月的最后十个交易日都是投资机构的造势活动。<br />
和往年有些不一样的是这回积极推升的不再是“外资”而是“内资”。<br />
只有周五才看见外资小量流入助兴。<br />
亚太区,12月累积涨势最猛的是日本,接着是印度,马来西亚第三。<br />
日本股市有无限QE助威,国际热钱继续流入推高股市,<br />
印度股市有大选效应,外加有外资入市股债市场,<br />
马来西亚全“没”,外资是股债全撤。<br />
马来西亚就靠内资,内资资金来自退休金,雇员基金,回教基金,保险机构和信托基金等。<br />
如有散失,买单当然不是基金经理,而是处于无奈与被动的基金持有者。<br />
<br />
30只权值股资金流向指标,<br />
指标在指数接近20日均线就出现转弱迹象,<br />
如确认跌破月线,绝对是放空指数绝佳机会。<br />
但转折还是没出现,资金在月线为指数带来支持。<br />
一周的指数成份股成交量和往年一样淡静,<br />
显然就是橱窗粉饰,出来混的迟早要还。<br />
图表分析者,可自行回侧过往走势。<br />
第一道防线先看1850点。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgm5697LAl3hn4yW7QP974t5g1-rVpvw_pR8J1WGbWe_uggVq99a7ma6ZKN0wXC6hG5ytfoFLfs-8H5Ji8QU1lABk8jonRo62FpzpsADZpZqCXKjpwj247ZMV0XNC7ea1KBGeCM4xtjg8GO/s1600/myr.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="157" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgm5697LAl3hn4yW7QP974t5g1-rVpvw_pR8J1WGbWe_uggVq99a7ma6ZKN0wXC6hG5ytfoFLfs-8H5Ji8QU1lABk8jonRo62FpzpsADZpZqCXKjpwj247ZMV0XNC7ea1KBGeCM4xtjg8GO/s320/myr.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
汇率方面,马币兑美元继续走跌。<br />
亚太区走强的汇率是印度,人民币和韩币。<br />
韩国也是股汇双涨,外资从新回流韩国。<br />
而马币继续处于月线之下,乖离幅度再度扩大。<br />
这和股市出现强烈的背离。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjVdOAeXJOuujR9lTxkGjcuWGLL4L4subdfw2sp4kdRXCp77qbfTozcPQxF2wr1cDOUSGv4ZWFDiSsVsM-hoZAW__P7XM04IPuPrGf2LD3nBWGcFyfAPASXnJeeqRm0c9AWPdKFpwuRelWv/s1600/fkli.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="197" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjVdOAeXJOuujR9lTxkGjcuWGLL4L4subdfw2sp4kdRXCp77qbfTozcPQxF2wr1cDOUSGv4ZWFDiSsVsM-hoZAW__P7XM04IPuPrGf2LD3nBWGcFyfAPASXnJeeqRm0c9AWPdKFpwuRelWv/s320/fkli.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
期货方面,近月留仓量还剩下40%仓位还未平仓。<br />
近月市场筹码偏多,大部分散户但已转仓去一月,净部位是偏多的。<br />
预示,大部分散户还是看好指数明年的走势愿意把获利风险延长。<br />
当本月期指结算后,期指的未来短期走势就可以预估出来。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<div style="text-align: center;">
总结:
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
指数处于月线之上,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
期指处于月线之上,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马币处于月线之下, </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
现货与期货是逆差价,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
外资继续保持流出趋势,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
综合指数权值股资金流入,</div>
接近结算日,行情会持续波动,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
预期行情走势偏向强 势,支持点先留意1850点。 </div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-82034874633162367742013-12-22T06:18:00.001-08:002013-12-22T06:18:44.183-08:00国际股市简析(DEC20)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEidEfCHjYi3T3m-x8ga_Ui-_h3nPkfFfLY7FOKx68YoQsDC6LTFHv95huOUFWkkCOwLtjiMcyfQsr_rLolD-jOgyb2-bLZ2qwzy76r5-9TeZAnV7nrMc_U2R_NbLZTcDZk17tvz1DbyXlFy/s1600/DJI1220.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="255" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEidEfCHjYi3T3m-x8ga_Ui-_h3nPkfFfLY7FOKx68YoQsDC6LTFHv95huOUFWkkCOwLtjiMcyfQsr_rLolD-jOgyb2-bLZ2qwzy76r5-9TeZAnV7nrMc_U2R_NbLZTcDZk17tvz1DbyXlFy/s320/DJI1220.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
美股在上週五也再度创高,标準普尔500指数收涨0.48%,写下1818.32点新高。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
道琼工业指数收扬0.26%,也写下歷来新高。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
以科技股為主的那斯达克综合指数收涨1.15%。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
道琼工业指数从新回返月线,但资金动能的支持并没预期幅度大。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
VIX指数,杠杆基金部位继续加码往下做 ,对市场看法乐观。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjjxAh4-5SxZyhJyz4g_xtgb8fOskbUzxnysKMOi7mocJ400HeF1mkPlgN1QgUVRSEyVP6KhxHXqN3hSI3XTMQAOkBHELXd3ZwtHYyGJnUpcCFt37CwV1zxnUm8gjRtoL6F8FbXIZJRVRH9/s1600/ASIAMFL.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="250" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjjxAh4-5SxZyhJyz4g_xtgb8fOskbUzxnysKMOi7mocJ400HeF1mkPlgN1QgUVRSEyVP6KhxHXqN3hSI3XTMQAOkBHELXd3ZwtHYyGJnUpcCFt37CwV1zxnUm8gjRtoL6F8FbXIZJRVRH9/s320/ASIAMFL.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span class="userContent">美国QE确定缩减,印马泰菲股市涨跌不依。<br /> 过去一周外资继续集中撤离马来西亚与泰国股市。<br /> 周五,外资不但撤离泰国股市还加码放空。</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span class="userContent">有关东南亚局势,可参阅以下网址。</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span class="userContent"><a href="http://www.potawang.com/asian-financial-crisis-again/" target="_blank">http://www.potawang.com/asian-financial-crisis-again/</a> </span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjEzZZPLsu048v5AxEUflOdWWBsrAeIemqC8X1LY2gQ5cqJxLouB1JeFi_J0ZuiH1Ei3-4leaXJDOGN4OH91dxjw7r8bOCBc8PVvjp4AbKI0x0qqrjM_qJ0QiX0OtWXjubIhJoCcTgTdNk1/s1600/gold.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="263" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjEzZZPLsu048v5AxEUflOdWWBsrAeIemqC8X1LY2gQ5cqJxLouB1JeFi_J0ZuiH1Ei3-4leaXJDOGN4OH91dxjw7r8bOCBc8PVvjp4AbKI0x0qqrjM_qJ0QiX0OtWXjubIhJoCcTgTdNk1/s320/gold.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
西德洲原油和铜走势有转强迹象。CRB指数也转强了。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
市场接着开始预期通货膨胀来领了。</div>
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjp2x-cQkuFxJU7CnQEIU3t5acpfo9KjXkrFAqpBHCiL0jzw7Zlt8jA6Vz1l6ru67NIOeKrNGAmCtTLbSbbSLBQEUSXVck_7cPckODNAwWqWmggSYm1x99Q_uu8pqBB4H0hKApDeSh_ZaN_/s1600/TIP.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjp2x-cQkuFxJU7CnQEIU3t5acpfo9KjXkrFAqpBHCiL0jzw7Zlt8jA6Vz1l6ru67NIOeKrNGAmCtTLbSbbSLBQEUSXVck_7cPckODNAwWqWmggSYm1x99Q_uu8pqBB4H0hKApDeSh_ZaN_/s320/TIP.png" width="311" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span class="userContent">这图是观察美国通胀的指标之一,看起来有转多的迹象。</span></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span class="userContent">黄金目前走势还在探底中。 </span> </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-73425027483978850992013-12-22T02:59:00.002-08:002013-12-22T14:42:10.387-08:00马来西亚股市简析(DEC20)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjUXIGTx37Z4lB5rxq6QIoG9KrCf5ZGy0S1F-yAxL4SMBC7TEmiWjqyXjBlwXgKv7wEqHmgBaTOWYzSzI9bnuEHKSLgTxTDYtlGiYBH2EmY2I_j2AJJzhzVUnCA9wUFkF9DD6Riwl4vXYWU/s1600/AFBMKLCI1220.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjUXIGTx37Z4lB5rxq6QIoG9KrCf5ZGy0S1F-yAxL4SMBC7TEmiWjqyXjBlwXgKv7wEqHmgBaTOWYzSzI9bnuEHKSLgTxTDYtlGiYBH2EmY2I_j2AJJzhzVUnCA9wUFkF9DD6Riwl4vXYWU/s320/AFBMKLCI1220.png" height="180" width="320" /></a></div>
马来西亚股市保住了前周涨幅,一周微跌2.32点,以1838.03点挂收。<br />
指数在周二,一度创了历史新高1851.94点。<br />
但在美国联储局声明后,指数跟随区域亚洲市场走弱。<br />
图表显示,这已是外资第11周撤离马来西亚股市,累计11周撤离57亿零吉。<br />
本土投资机构入市的累积金额已超过外资。<br />
2013年还剩下5个交易日,橱窗粉饰活动已结束。<br />
预期外资会继续撤,剩下就是本土机构和散户的支持。<br />
另张图是FBMKLCI与EWM(MSCI马来西亚指数)2013年绩效对比图。<br />
12月,2指数的走势明示背离。<br />
那要参考那个指标来研判后势比较实际?当然是MSCI指数。<br />
超过90%北美及亚洲资產管理公司以MSCI编列的指数為资產配置指标,<br />
此外约有五成以上的欧洲基金经理人以此做為绩效评比参考。<br />
整体而言,全球约有三兆美元的资金是以MSCI指数为指标,<br />
其中约有15%的资金是採取与MSCI所编列的指数连动,<br />
因此,若说MSCI为全球最具影响力的指数,可是一点也不为过。<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg8FX0ehcTKa0dYGGIlJxLCfGEX5n6xYIM-AWbDNHYgfmi8fFwZyj73ZbR-wQPL5OjJAWFdB7ocuBaDNBu4eEQy41cXgKHKQr9p5zwVfWTH5auChTP1UsL6QlIpErdJN8farNur4oHz7hZr/s1600/FBMKLCI1220.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg8FX0ehcTKa0dYGGIlJxLCfGEX5n6xYIM-AWbDNHYgfmi8fFwZyj73ZbR-wQPL5OjJAWFdB7ocuBaDNBu4eEQy41cXgKHKQr9p5zwVfWTH5auChTP1UsL6QlIpErdJN8farNur4oHz7hZr/s320/FBMKLCI1220.png" height="230" width="320" /></a>左图为30只权值股资金流向指标,<br />
记得前周提过指数有机会出现转折。<br />
但转折并没出现,资金继续为指数带来支持。<br />
周五,指标再现转折讯号。<br />
目前,创新低的权值股数量再度创了11月高点,当时富时指数累积回调15点。<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgG94mXkHxsJAXVy8_3Ce8cSiMbVjuQKDjkztEjv4ylN7RJBKymKXUUHjQWcvob0E2qxVvlUCORJfJyO-Hi2G9cvWf563qxUYC7qApl-7ZjOsZqdId_DDHy0BIgeeE1fSC2Cv1LWt-_NhJK/s1600/MYR1222.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgG94mXkHxsJAXVy8_3Ce8cSiMbVjuQKDjkztEjv4ylN7RJBKymKXUUHjQWcvob0E2qxVvlUCORJfJyO-Hi2G9cvWf563qxUYC7qApl-7ZjOsZqdId_DDHy0BIgeeE1fSC2Cv1LWt-_NhJK/s320/MYR1222.png" height="177" width="320" /></a></div>
汇率方面,在美元走升情况,马币继续走跌。<br />
马币继续处于月线之下,乖离幅度再度扩大。<br />
至于富时综合指数与月线乖离幅度,<br />
前篇已提过接近2%后接着的涨势就会偏弱。<br />
激进追高,风险极大。<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhliyc4oMG3hppC-lNiZnLjilr_6veQkCNRXFzkg5nhafIROhc70nZSuYYPMlVadtVyXg7Ahb1Ufq2LEV6ngUrGCTWUEEGUZ7wFeyAaFa8kf3_qBDU9toD0cymBiYsOftumQqsG8MWCqslA/s1600/FKLI.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhliyc4oMG3hppC-lNiZnLjilr_6veQkCNRXFzkg5nhafIROhc70nZSuYYPMlVadtVyXg7Ahb1Ufq2LEV6ngUrGCTWUEEGUZ7wFeyAaFa8kf3_qBDU9toD0cymBiYsOftumQqsG8MWCqslA/s320/FKLI.png" height="141" width="320" /></a></div>
期货方面,近月留仓量已逐步减少。<br />
预示,有者已经逢高结束期指部位。<br />
反之,目前发现散户指标,<br />
大多数的散户还在看涨部位。<br />
真正赚钱的交易人士在12月6日之前上车的,<br />
之后都是一堆等着被宰的。<br />
当前,期指交易人目光该放在2014年的走势。<br />
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
总结:
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
指数处于月线之上,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
期指处于月线之上,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马币处于月线之下, </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
现货与期货是逆差价,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
外资继续保持流出趋势,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
综合指数权值股资金再流出,</div>
接近结算日,行情会比较波动,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
预期行情走势偏向弱势,支持点先留意月线。 </div>
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-15088244083905735992013-12-15T04:57:00.004-08:002013-12-15T05:03:48.087-08:00国际市场简析(DEC13)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEio_xnNn_aND5s_q733NurI4rKEqq2ip6cWtvH6r3I_HMW5YBgaZ6OrXgN1iDfmAj46g4dtJg6xwVyks6pJh5ziTnoiqFXkByXN8zwqgUZ3WxKanXk3sdPEWfxXp5dbdz6szVvgK0mauIEn/s1600/DJI.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="176" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEio_xnNn_aND5s_q733NurI4rKEqq2ip6cWtvH6r3I_HMW5YBgaZ6OrXgN1iDfmAj46g4dtJg6xwVyks6pJh5ziTnoiqFXkByXN8zwqgUZ3WxKanXk3sdPEWfxXp5dbdz6szVvgK0mauIEn/s320/DJI.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
美国股市周五收盘涨跌互现。道琼斯工业指数上涨15.93点,涨幅0.10%,至15755.36点;</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
纳斯达指数上涨2.57点,涨幅为0.06%,至4000.98点;</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
标准普尔500指数下跌0.18点,跌幅为0.01%,至1775.32点。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
一周内, 道琼斯工业指数再度失守月线。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
资金量能继续疲弱。后市走向偏向非盘即跌格局。 </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
市场等待下周将举行的美联储货币政策会议,关注美联储是否会宣布减缩QE规模。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
迟退早退都要退,我关注的是国际热钱的流向趋势。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
当前的国际市场的热钱依然泛滥全球,风向吹往欧美日,smart money 的动向不得不留意。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh1Yk1E-0VHE1JhOD0zQlEAl0gLmv5DfUDKSg1pi2rQxylkXl7hNVcZhLjHFb_7WJaG9Q7qWNNtFe-DWrUnowJ-45D988P4jpKDv3YYDf4-aYk3azGwlejb4l20ogEjsHZq-aMwyVpt1KqD/s1600/india.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="166" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh1Yk1E-0VHE1JhOD0zQlEAl0gLmv5DfUDKSg1pi2rQxylkXl7hNVcZhLjHFb_7WJaG9Q7qWNNtFe-DWrUnowJ-45D988P4jpKDv3YYDf4-aYk3azGwlejb4l20ogEjsHZq-aMwyVpt1KqD/s320/india.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
印度股市算是目前新兴国家中,在第4季度获得热钱青睐的市场。<br />
从周线观察,季线和半年线也都稳健向上。指数也摆脱过去三个季度波段箱型整理。<br />
资金流向方面,外资的现货,期货和选择权的资金布局一面看多。<br />
本周印度股市大跌1.34%,预期会开始测试季线的支撑力道。<br />
以下这篇报道不错,立场相当中立,可以让投资人参考。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<a href="http://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/y/20131214/004317631702.shtml" target="_blank">http://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/y/20131214/004317631702.shtml </a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJIBWoKZc23oRbWybwpCXtde21jdrmLtxvhLDsatWeIYqtcN53sxho0gaR_NnWwOECL12KTP8YSalgOw4qapj-xqVrEYMGCc4gK4Ydpss5Cu4Pxac5mgf5XCQDsJwo6St_ydq2WZWxP2BW/s1600/asiamf.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="199" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJIBWoKZc23oRbWybwpCXtde21jdrmLtxvhLDsatWeIYqtcN53sxho0gaR_NnWwOECL12KTP8YSalgOw4qapj-xqVrEYMGCc4gK4Ydpss5Cu4Pxac5mgf5XCQDsJwo6St_ydq2WZWxP2BW/s320/asiamf.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
接着就看国际热钱在亚洲新兴国家,亚洲4小虎,印马泰菲等4国的股市状况。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
图表放的是过去4周外资的资金动向。<br />
马来西亚与泰国股市外资撤幅较大。<br />
泰国持续遭受大量的资金撤离,政治动乱不可小视。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjzoKflcJgXj3PkDCyMQDVgDBNZrSe1mNZ8J9HDOceAjc1_Innt7SJKxbLKHxihJiPQN-wl2LPYQFIPHp0GRPLZGHeAj-6gRzYJ5hnRoTPLCaU-OzZCcMxX4Tvvb6HlF84uHyZALwURRg0s/s1600/THD.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="299" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjzoKflcJgXj3PkDCyMQDVgDBNZrSe1mNZ8J9HDOceAjc1_Innt7SJKxbLKHxihJiPQN-wl2LPYQFIPHp0GRPLZGHeAj-6gRzYJ5hnRoTPLCaU-OzZCcMxX4Tvvb6HlF84uHyZALwURRg0s/s320/THD.png" width="320" /> </a></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
泰国股市如继续低迷,马来西亚股市也不会太好过。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
过去的走势关系是偏向正相关的,更别提外资目前加速撤离这市场。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
另个亚洲注目的市场--日本,相对获得热钱的青睐。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
本博客会视游览人数逐步提供更多数据图分析。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
市场和你所想象的或许不一样。 </div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiWRHEq6ceSo_o3dfaHWwoQAPIyXRCaPxnYj78rMzik3Uv2YoxWThciFMe2GaJ68LRsW7LnfgcQG08mxMfiRMs_cpGl0pgXIjD9kTFNWLZxc_ul7SMHGgWFa-xjS3mSXUkISnCBXXUoK2wH/s1600/gold.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="254" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiWRHEq6ceSo_o3dfaHWwoQAPIyXRCaPxnYj78rMzik3Uv2YoxWThciFMe2GaJ68LRsW7LnfgcQG08mxMfiRMs_cpGl0pgXIjD9kTFNWLZxc_ul7SMHGgWFa-xjS3mSXUkISnCBXXUoK2wH/s320/gold.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
黄金,白银 和铜开始反弹了,但杠杆基金空单留仓部位还很大。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
这波反弹不会持久。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
西德洲原油WTIC,找到短期底部支持。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
相对分析可观察以下视频。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=--h14Ty3LKY&feature=share&list=UU_d42su5rbQyrqvd0VPoQqw&index=13" target="_blank">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=--h14Ty3LKY&feature=share&list=UU_d42su5rbQyrqvd0VPoQqw&index=13 </a></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-49224605170301970462013-12-15T02:50:00.001-08:002013-12-15T02:50:45.920-08:00马来西亚股市简析(DEC13)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_8TJxnKe7pQWzycr_qfr0tHFiKtFAY5GhMRGGNWRHnNWPMUP3-hhbfVgL-S3mMCfyX3LiWmBtNEY4Y9JyWnxTsOVtnWd8VloYkwxodm2BYo2xBpxbbQWVw2UJ9_DEDNdkc-nRRD7BaECL/s1600/MONEY+FLOW.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="113" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_8TJxnKe7pQWzycr_qfr0tHFiKtFAY5GhMRGGNWRHnNWPMUP3-hhbfVgL-S3mMCfyX3LiWmBtNEY4Y9JyWnxTsOVtnWd8VloYkwxodm2BYo2xBpxbbQWVw2UJ9_DEDNdkc-nRRD7BaECL/s320/MONEY+FLOW.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<span style="font-size: small;">马来西亚股市再创高,一周再涨13.4点。指数同步站上2周线和月线。<br />线图看来还是强势的,但结构上已不如前周健康。<br />同样的外资连续第十周撤离马来西亚股市。<br />部分市场分析员并不认为外资撤离会影响股市的涨势,<br />但读者可要思考,过去马来西亚这股市泡沫是外资吹起。<br />即便本地投资机构可吸纳被抛售的股票,但也不会不计基本状况持续吸纳。<br />部分权值股已超过合理的本益比,股值过高。股市始终会做一定幅度的下调。<br />另个值得思考的是最大的本土基金(KWSP),<br />过去高调喊进有潜能的二三线股,2013年也有很多散户搭了一波顺风车。<br />如基金计划接下来吸纳外资高价抛售的蓝筹股,资产组合必会作出调解。<br />小资股可能会遭受一定幅度的卖压,散户须多加警惕。</span></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh79UEOsrgvET81WcAfATqXfc2WQahOs09MJq4rpJl0JHGOeqDax5zK3gYgOLNv6O5IdcF7oCan7VLemNP-2IvmWf_fA6KyeGDmLJUD7UjTE0Zs8WEGkPnwCfp5dc6PBjIfBE7DJHc59D-b/s1600/MFL2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="235" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh79UEOsrgvET81WcAfATqXfc2WQahOs09MJq4rpJl0JHGOeqDax5zK3gYgOLNv6O5IdcF7oCan7VLemNP-2IvmWf_fA6KyeGDmLJUD7UjTE0Zs8WEGkPnwCfp5dc6PBjIfBE7DJHc59D-b/s320/MFL2.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
上图是5只过去10日交投活跃的权值股强弱比对图。<br />领头股IOICORP,已大幅的转弱。老二TENAGA,光芒渐失。<br />这和富时综合指数走势存在很大的落差。<br />另张图是权值股资金流向统计图,大致上已有资金从部分权值股撤出。<br />第三张图是股价同时站上3日均线,3日均线也同时高于10日均线的权值股统计图。<br />这图可以观察指数短线的健康程度,当前的状况是逐步往下走。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEge99Z7LG9sala9wZ6xVUmmRseU8inf4YFTSnVXTHYw74SCKMBpm4wpPW4Z6PLJOYH7HaQgRF0in6XhB3dsgOAzk-1I_OoMvROr1vTv3yYPh-_55vLpCJpZ6wmrkpjHQPdSjC6vDVzsw5Oo/s1600/MYR.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="85" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEge99Z7LG9sala9wZ6xVUmmRseU8inf4YFTSnVXTHYw74SCKMBpm4wpPW4Z6PLJOYH7HaQgRF0in6XhB3dsgOAzk-1I_OoMvROr1vTv3yYPh-_55vLpCJpZ6wmrkpjHQPdSjC6vDVzsw5Oo/s320/MYR.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
汇率方面,马币曾回涨至月线之上,但之后再回弱。<br />同样的富时综合指数已经上涨至合理涨幅(乖离月线2%)。<br />之后的涨幅必须有非常健康的上涨结构才值得继续追高。<br />之前已提过指数的结构已不健康。追高风险大,看得见的点数赚利未必属于你的。<br />对于期指操作交易人,止损不止赚和止损外加目标停利的策略绩效差很远。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
总结:
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
指数处于月线之上,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
期指处于月线之上,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马币处于月线之下, </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
现货与期货是逆差价,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
外资继续保持流出趋势,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
综合指数权值股资金开始流出,</div>
预期短期走势还会趋向20点的波动范围,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
接下来这周富时综合指数或有机会出现转折。 </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-22270125427118465652013-12-08T06:18:00.000-08:002013-12-08T06:18:26.069-08:00国际市场简析(DEC06)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhhh_Ja7keOTvpQHJnmF4G-B_h4FmX0S6ZqNdbm0FNDcaiMxeiVkbBhCyORmQ3KDxiF6oXJg15bk3Qy_-U3p_JlLAK6ePcuNVCkaW44dK8txQxrwGFowHZkzmv16sdc_KIcQC32xcAvR3xf/s1600/USD.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="259" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhhh_Ja7keOTvpQHJnmF4G-B_h4FmX0S6ZqNdbm0FNDcaiMxeiVkbBhCyORmQ3KDxiF6oXJg15bk3Qy_-U3p_JlLAK6ePcuNVCkaW44dK8txQxrwGFowHZkzmv16sdc_KIcQC32xcAvR3xf/s320/USD.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
2013年即将结束,来回顾美元对黄金,美债,美股和CRB指数的绩效。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
目前看来,不管美元是涨是跌,美国股市就是一直涨上去。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
相对的持有黄金是输家,不管操作如何的与美元关系做多操作,一年看来绩效不佳。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
我想今年最大的赢家是做多美股,同时也做空黄金的交易人。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEifWOE2ebztt76JWfKthXfeRkgpG2pO6AtROS6kswHqfrM91Pmj01M9vd-0nQ4dVTp5l0CKS8vmwmKVQRPnaqssQhMknWjxY6dT7G_mKVMBosCN7JncSt363L72aIJruAR5pKIbqs0Oz52U/s1600/DJI.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="191" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEifWOE2ebztt76JWfKthXfeRkgpG2pO6AtROS6kswHqfrM91Pmj01M9vd-0nQ4dVTp5l0CKS8vmwmKVQRPnaqssQhMknWjxY6dT7G_mKVMBosCN7JncSt363L72aIJruAR5pKIbqs0Oz52U/s320/DJI.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
道指(DJI)开始测试月线,指数下跌时获得小部分资金支持。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
总体观察资金动能还是不大。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj9Khbr6Oa9DKKilI7EAJIz32sDdhM5khlV7WMXMFuD7TAVriGD4NrTJqzaTOJABmbaJ6PwcUVj1dZKseQCQHBknDMF2Hr5VqHQvL1jsewL32PZ0FeNSaUpd9MOWkzi0ns-u1K6PHPYN9XB/s1600/IWM.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj9Khbr6Oa9DKKilI7EAJIz32sDdhM5khlV7WMXMFuD7TAVriGD4NrTJqzaTOJABmbaJ6PwcUVj1dZKseQCQHBknDMF2Hr5VqHQvL1jsewL32PZ0FeNSaUpd9MOWkzi0ns-u1K6PHPYN9XB/s320/IWM.png" style="cursor: move;" width="256" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
小盘股并不跟随大盘指数上涨,<br /><br />站上50日均线的股票与大盘指数走势持续背离。<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8PcmtXWIwI43GBQxXsGHLyUROAk-bigphae49y0VD-OSQ92J9Rx4RegnsPvwb2rdBEJzGma9c7fFqruid0Eqf4IxEM9K0Bhj0NlkGVjKIhAt_V0ipsTtUhEEyudwKJa3rLKY-Guqrk7iK/s1600/gold.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="213" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi8PcmtXWIwI43GBQxXsGHLyUROAk-bigphae49y0VD-OSQ92J9Rx4RegnsPvwb2rdBEJzGma9c7fFqruid0Eqf4IxEM9K0Bhj0NlkGVjKIhAt_V0ipsTtUhEEyudwKJa3rLKY-Guqrk7iK/s320/gold.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
取自CFTC新式报告,杠杆基金在加空黄金,白银和铜价。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
只要价格不突破空方压力区。就可继续看空后市。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEge7IuRry1w1Zt8086rGod_BIQvYffnvc8GJLn4Qh6r9HYrPVjVqkiK_porZ7mfhMeBnKylo_gNz2_j2Syr1jOUY-FsUFwDVB5h78EA3k3RThH8xhJ1TGLwUxAu1jGWp8OIrpgMR1PfXykS/s1600/WTIC.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="183" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEge7IuRry1w1Zt8086rGod_BIQvYffnvc8GJLn4Qh6r9HYrPVjVqkiK_porZ7mfhMeBnKylo_gNz2_j2Syr1jOUY-FsUFwDVB5h78EA3k3RThH8xhJ1TGLwUxAu1jGWp8OIrpgMR1PfXykS/s320/WTIC.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
西德洲原油开始止跌了,留意多方支持点。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
VIX指数再被看跌,美国多头还可延续一段时间。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
美债再被看跌。 </div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-7145432044706703182013-12-08T02:34:00.001-08:002013-12-08T02:36:10.624-08:00马来西亚股市简析(DEC06)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhhjA55O_VnaZC5HQOlAQ1cnUDVHOmnuX5NImcZd1aQJgaMlaPf-28GiGgshZt3BfPsAZthqd3uoU_b0Tzgq9yd9huzaSi4NjyfahoMpo1Qug8AXRjDcp9VG9Z5sX2ArltVwxqfqjuD9_hW/s1600/FBMKLCI.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="172" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhhjA55O_VnaZC5HQOlAQ1cnUDVHOmnuX5NImcZd1aQJgaMlaPf-28GiGgshZt3BfPsAZthqd3uoU_b0Tzgq9yd9huzaSi4NjyfahoMpo1Qug8AXRjDcp9VG9Z5sX2ArltVwxqfqjuD9_hW/s320/FBMKLCI.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
周二,综合指数拉了一根上引线。高点1840。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
一周拉了三根较明示的上引线,全周以上涨14点挂收。 </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
本土投资机构的橱窗粉饰相当积极。外资则持续资金撤出。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
从上方的图表观察,大部分权值股都获得资金支持而走高。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
短期内已不宜 过度看空走势。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj5RoctyJKpcqn0Fnhc6BZ9Ter8DITaJTBfD92R5F-TN_M8KnVyXG8UihSpMon4-Q7mRJ7NFiunIdTyEbebAMOMvZM-ZV0jFdYWGbUXZ0zchjyFBhFKBekxMFxIUbtnOyGLfLsarWrG7C9S/s1600/fkli.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="183" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj5RoctyJKpcqn0Fnhc6BZ9Ter8DITaJTBfD92R5F-TN_M8KnVyXG8UihSpMon4-Q7mRJ7NFiunIdTyEbebAMOMvZM-ZV0jFdYWGbUXZ0zchjyFBhFKBekxMFxIUbtnOyGLfLsarWrG7C9S/s320/fkli.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
期指方面,近月期指也都处于月线之上,操作部位不宜过度偏空。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
目前值得警惕的是这波上涨伴随的是逆价差,还有就是持续加码的散户多单。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
主力何时会结束这波行情?交易人风险值得多加留意。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjY4A6EeOKxQiynTaV3Ww9J3WKnKqyNN1CX0cVbtsap538x_8VGHTDZlQ-aEn5_nLzaHV45iMXhmw1lKyOSTUv0nSsO8-fskSaVv5gMmydSMN8NVdUMi5oWw0r75oB8BR4ITrMgqwt8VHdw/s1600/myr.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="166" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjY4A6EeOKxQiynTaV3Ww9J3WKnKqyNN1CX0cVbtsap538x_8VGHTDZlQ-aEn5_nLzaHV45iMXhmw1lKyOSTUv0nSsO8-fskSaVv5gMmydSMN8NVdUMi5oWw0r75oB8BR4ITrMgqwt8VHdw/s320/myr.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
汇率方面,马币继续偏向弱势。继续处于月线之下。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
这和富时综合指数出现背离。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
总结:
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
指数处于月线之上,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
期指处于月线之上,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马币处于月线之下, </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
现货与期货是逆差价,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
外资继续保持流出趋势,速度又开始加大,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
综合指数权值股保持资金流入,</div>
预期短期走势还会趋向上涨,值得关注TENAGA和IOICORP的走势转折。 </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-73122457913212030632013-12-05T06:01:00.000-08:002013-12-05T06:01:01.183-08:00马来西亚股市简析(DEC05)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEix3TPUCqBvFA331iEHmMU9pWFlHZQdtNHDRc7tsbS191u2cekWlRStiw1KW8jmYdowyIQ045K6S2E8o5CPXVC2HDnZYIHKMPRPqMWZ1my7vOOiAjbbVvnhtGPERJG3Dc3gImHfOldGRVYX/s1600/FBMKLCI.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="270" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEix3TPUCqBvFA331iEHmMU9pWFlHZQdtNHDRc7tsbS191u2cekWlRStiw1KW8jmYdowyIQ045K6S2E8o5CPXVC2HDnZYIHKMPRPqMWZ1my7vOOiAjbbVvnhtGPERJG3Dc3gImHfOldGRVYX/s320/FBMKLCI.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
昨日在FB转过这篇新闻报道。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<h2 class="title">
<span style="font-size: small;"><a href="http://www.nanyang.com/node/583174?tid=462#.Up54AJrps9w.facebook">12月橱窗粉饰效应加持 落后大市综指股看涨</a></span></h2>
<h2 class="title">
<span style="font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: small;">投资分析师都给与看好马来西亚股市,就连2014年的目标点都已定好</span></span>。</h2>
<h2 class="title">
<span style="font-size: small;">但留意我放的法人资金流向统计图表,看起来似乎不是那么一回事。</span></h2>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiaJln032_LxiWwfOFSIkF9pinEBRswmointg4hoPbS2hhi_VdFWM1ffwF2XoFdjvXYEwVxxyaLMsEscp7VBtDZHwjeslROX_9wnuTJUprPIi3xRGSgzJbq0rBoM0qXX4hDCqTrnErTtcjq/s1600/SCAP.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="261" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiaJln032_LxiWwfOFSIkF9pinEBRswmointg4hoPbS2hhi_VdFWM1ffwF2XoFdjvXYEwVxxyaLMsEscp7VBtDZHwjeslROX_9wnuTJUprPIi3xRGSgzJbq0rBoM0qXX4hDCqTrnErTtcjq/s320/SCAP.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<h2 class="title">
<span style="font-size: small;">接着看看小资股指数的表现,是强还是弱?</span></h2>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEibwoWy1j7EUio9A8Q73ELtBFxyJYYi06LQyJSUeNFRvic3EfCoK4smN9FkN7MVfPxia3Uk9ArP5rrv1bvSUZMsbN_mxvODIUfuywX8XAs22p9BGcILBCvAm8FVDCNoUPO44NJonFkan1oL/s1600/FINANCE.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="261" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEibwoWy1j7EUio9A8Q73ELtBFxyJYYi06LQyJSUeNFRvic3EfCoK4smN9FkN7MVfPxia3Uk9ArP5rrv1bvSUZMsbN_mxvODIUfuywX8XAs22p9BGcILBCvAm8FVDCNoUPO44NJonFkan1oL/s320/FINANCE.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<h2 class="title">
<span style="font-size: small;">金融股指数,占富时综合指数比例很大,</span></h2>
<h2 class="title">
<span style="font-size: small;">本周也已突破趋势线但量能还是不足。也没强势的领涨股。</span></h2>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiKuM2UewjEhRAQVMe_Y3XGiWX-P25qIN3SwuGC1Nbx_R661p7k5hPA_tNkJtBBm5B24jdoN0YF3gclTPH7injmppC2K2uD96kTR9g-OBV31MI6ENbr5C68TlZkVkckRML6AyWqO638ACgG/s1600/PLANT.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="261" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiKuM2UewjEhRAQVMe_Y3XGiWX-P25qIN3SwuGC1Nbx_R661p7k5hPA_tNkJtBBm5B24jdoN0YF3gclTPH7injmppC2K2uD96kTR9g-OBV31MI6ENbr5C68TlZkVkckRML6AyWqO638ACgG/s320/PLANT.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<h2 class="title">
<span style="font-size: small;">目前的 种植股指数,在板块指数中算是相对的强。</span></h2>
<h2 class="title">
<span style="font-size: small;">领涨股IOICORP,近期的股市涨势气氛还真的靠它。</span></h2>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJUK-6wytVnU01Pn1hyyDNnkhTEqKtov5MpCtZEpUkDRkVewRha6iONhKflSnlUh_LE7L7RXi5PfyZJ1y2WvcWt6C9t0vS8UBIaA8jec54Ww52t7qDCXgyUA2XrHXFzWBqoPefWp0WUKVY/s1600/TRAD.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="261" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhJUK-6wytVnU01Pn1hyyDNnkhTEqKtov5MpCtZEpUkDRkVewRha6iONhKflSnlUh_LE7L7RXi5PfyZJ1y2WvcWt6C9t0vS8UBIaA8jec54Ww52t7qDCXgyUA2XrHXFzWBqoPefWp0WUKVY/s320/TRAD.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<h2 class="title">
<span style="font-size: small;">另外就是服务与贸易类指数,主要是电费调涨而获得青睐的TENAGA在撑。</span></h2>
<h2 class="title">
<span style="font-size: small;">实际的板块交易量是不大的。</span></h2>
<h2 class="title">
<span style="font-size: small;">目前富时综合指数主要就靠这二支股支持着,指数目前已经接近阻力区。</span></h2>
<h2 class="title">
<span style="font-size: small;">指数的权值股的资金流向解构已不健康。 </span></h2>
<h2 class="title">
<span style="font-size: small;"> </span></h2>
<h2 class="title">
<span style="font-size: small;"> </span></h2>
<h2 class="title">
<span style="font-size: small;"> </span></h2>
</div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-90602838507054336622013-12-01T04:48:00.001-08:002013-12-01T04:48:08.044-08:00美国股市简析(NOV29)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiL_LkQB1ZVTvVzXP8__lvsKytr-COS4Ep3LLWBx4dpFpLVefme0ayRJ7WIJORvRO3uRSZ650Z56GRsjS3Il87bsnUq28kJdhTnfNMCNXRyUE8TAn8AzReIItrVZeE_YoahZ_9L252Bmsne/s1600/SP500.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="270" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiL_LkQB1ZVTvVzXP8__lvsKytr-COS4Ep3LLWBx4dpFpLVefme0ayRJ7WIJORvRO3uRSZ650Z56GRsjS3Il87bsnUq28kJdhTnfNMCNXRyUE8TAn8AzReIItrVZeE_YoahZ_9L252Bmsne/s320/SP500.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
11月的美股收高,道指与标普500指数连续第8周收高,纳指连续第三周上涨。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
道指全周上涨0.1%,11月上涨3.5%。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
标普500指数全周涨0.1%,11月上涨2.8%。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
纳指全周上涨1.7%,11月上涨3.6%。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
上方显示的是15分钟线图,标普500指数在成交量不足下数次开高走低。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgn84J-xXx7gWUGmMYaA-FmbxjpKu4Fj9CBvf72rFb0UT-5YeAPvcEJ0acvtCpmDUwnWe3pIHImyc43V3PvvI_w7M6-VqaAlcV2DnpdqlZ3tPkq61kH5vbPuUIUyEiIfK3DoWJai12ZsvNk/s1600/SP500A.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="243" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgn84J-xXx7gWUGmMYaA-FmbxjpKu4Fj9CBvf72rFb0UT-5YeAPvcEJ0acvtCpmDUwnWe3pIHImyc43V3PvvI_w7M6-VqaAlcV2DnpdqlZ3tPkq61kH5vbPuUIUyEiIfK3DoWJai12ZsvNk/s320/SP500A.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
上面显示的图表是 标普500指数和道指站上50日均线的百分比。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
投资人值得谨慎观察和留意。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjwAW34T04xX5coqvHHMvpGlV9jGdEP3F5u2ULbHy7s0zO8uz-vvbvgdDUKlk_WoUrELCLdkmn0tJT-47HrgKdoYCYUrYFeiC0iFirhhdu7d5WBVq6EP8xFxLUdwoB8lkkGdQbdUMMRHd1K/s1600/RISK.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="277" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjwAW34T04xX5coqvHHMvpGlV9jGdEP3F5u2ULbHy7s0zO8uz-vvbvgdDUKlk_WoUrELCLdkmn0tJT-47HrgKdoYCYUrYFeiC0iFirhhdu7d5WBVq6EP8xFxLUdwoB8lkkGdQbdUMMRHd1K/s320/RISK.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
上方图表示用来观察RISK ON或RISK OFF的指标之一。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
HYG是垃圾债;TLT则是美国20年期国债ETF。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
指标往上代表RISK ON ,往下代表RISK OFF。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
目前通过MACD技术指标观察,有开始往下翻转的迹象。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
面对节节高升的美股,不得再次警惕。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEifn-WfAKYl9jI-zBspCGc_EKHTWeWkEyfPELEEOyxuqATqRLT9F28oQ-MJrjpIMarvXkkW8uAcE-c3w0AloJ7hXpDkxvxrDLdDTWxecPItmIwLwRL_3Gx2PMPV4iS6QGvjnxhXAFj3Ulpi/s1600/XLY.gif" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="142" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEifn-WfAKYl9jI-zBspCGc_EKHTWeWkEyfPELEEOyxuqATqRLT9F28oQ-MJrjpIMarvXkkW8uAcE-c3w0AloJ7hXpDkxvxrDLdDTWxecPItmIwLwRL_3Gx2PMPV4iS6QGvjnxhXAFj3Ulpi/s320/XLY.gif" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
消费者信心指数有些疲弱,XLY非必须品类股是否涨过火了?</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgq5hFZniMVw9eu-HKBxdVvWsxrmkFpmJkbu6fvUX8w_u2cVmNVDSQpf2pX0g3nGtCjTWg810H8y2XFEW2hDrIY-1Wm-CBxSSbjVXqggCV6kT1GUO4hIWFwldrMafVWR343UoOkXE9HRo0N/s1600/dji.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="189" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgq5hFZniMVw9eu-HKBxdVvWsxrmkFpmJkbu6fvUX8w_u2cVmNVDSQpf2pX0g3nGtCjTWg810H8y2XFEW2hDrIY-1Wm-CBxSSbjVXqggCV6kT1GUO4hIWFwldrMafVWR343UoOkXE9HRo0N/s320/dji.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
道指方面,4日的资金流向偏向小幅度流出。 </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
周五,有资金回流市场。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
美国股市确实存在风险,一旦失守月线,确认走向短期空头格局。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-30192849670295956692013-12-01T03:48:00.000-08:002013-12-01T04:50:49.842-08:00富时综合指数分析(nov29)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh_RD1D2nWN2ZpOiNvLHwng_t6UUjNF-cEh9XENyNSUtIdBU4uXt7d8XItiBo7VVB4O18D6l7aHqhBBj1by9nB8kwLjmMNVTzNehJHWmk9M-rMkYTCNcxbw7bx1t4mkbTpALYowdyU-4xWz/s1600/fbmklci1129.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="175" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh_RD1D2nWN2ZpOiNvLHwng_t6UUjNF-cEh9XENyNSUtIdBU4uXt7d8XItiBo7VVB4O18D6l7aHqhBBj1by9nB8kwLjmMNVTzNehJHWmk9M-rMkYTCNcxbw7bx1t4mkbTpALYowdyU-4xWz/s320/fbmklci1129.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
富时综合指数配合结算周,指数拉高结算。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
指数一周上涨18点,成交量则相对偏低。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
外资一周持续资金净流出,但流出幅度已缩小。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
周五外资还小幅度资金流入,这主要是拉高指数做结算。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgQ7tTSoPg3jOP1Rb82N7gIg29onMdaJNWYYdW_M1O2ANbm8Fh8lF3mQUgP0_LFs5CyFdSv22SjfqgtZATTxjifrca_aK1ouQnltnaAO8deTKLx3DckunppQejHOgWHamKAjKyZlSgtME72/s1600/FKLI.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="128" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgQ7tTSoPg3jOP1Rb82N7gIg29onMdaJNWYYdW_M1O2ANbm8Fh8lF3mQUgP0_LFs5CyFdSv22SjfqgtZATTxjifrca_aK1ouQnltnaAO8deTKLx3DckunppQejHOgWHamKAjKyZlSgtME72/s320/FKLI.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
为何指数拉高结算? </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
原因在于,较多散户的空单还留守市场。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
与散户对赌的便是控盘大户,在期货市场散户始终很难成为赢家。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
上方黑色背景的图表已记录过去一个月大部分散户的操作流程,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
这绝对是我的期货市场的“明灯”。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
现货指数与期指指数都已从返月线,这表示后市看法已不能过度偏空。 </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
但在价差关系方面,给的是逆价差讯号,期货看法是偏向空方。 </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
目前散户在12月期货的部位也是看涨(须警惕),</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
如果交易人是看涨操作就要设定好保守的停损和停利价。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEimuWrwfSP6wD6rYYS24JO6vdceqsbOs6i1Xa6wi2rQp1Ftjd0eunPFQGnMTV3pWjtM4qPVaNAE0uCkOoHhZ9qsm_9h7jjo8lmWC_tqer0nrisW93r1jJav9dyi1cuyxP_ZV_SbzEPpAGy9/s1600/myr.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="155" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEimuWrwfSP6wD6rYYS24JO6vdceqsbOs6i1Xa6wi2rQp1Ftjd0eunPFQGnMTV3pWjtM4qPVaNAE0uCkOoHhZ9qsm_9h7jjo8lmWC_tqer0nrisW93r1jJav9dyi1cuyxP_ZV_SbzEPpAGy9/s320/myr.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
汇率方面,马币依旧是偏弱走势和股市走势已分歧。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
30支权值股,绝大部分获得资金支持。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
短期内不适合过度看空指数,直到这指标有转弱讯号为止。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
总结:
<br />
<div style="text-align: center;">
指数突破月线,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
期指突破月线,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马币跌破月线, </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
现货与期货是逆差价,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
外资继续保持流出趋势,但速度开始减慢,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
综合指数权值股保持资金流入,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
预期走势会趋向上涨,但涨势会受阻于前期的阻力区。<br />
<br />
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<iframe allowfullscreen='allowfullscreen' webkitallowfullscreen='webkitallowfullscreen' mozallowfullscreen='mozallowfullscreen' width='320' height='266' src='https://www.youtube.com/embed/XRgMgcVprxg?feature=player_embedded' frameborder='0'></iframe></div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-4983139345808208932013-11-28T06:19:00.002-08:002013-11-28T06:19:13.446-08:00美国公债-TIPS,黄金,西德州原油走势简析<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEizpPcbwyM7qV1ql_h_VHCCPdA6pA79HnkCsqeiIc5P52vGpmBb_7cUyAFO7Rq3xwS4CXv5U5C0c9jngEbUcn3wxq_1xWWqXAQA6pJDqVZse82dvqHPccXxCz8_U38vexlSZ3I7ctHBx124/s1600/TIP1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEizpPcbwyM7qV1ql_h_VHCCPdA6pA79HnkCsqeiIc5P52vGpmBb_7cUyAFO7Rq3xwS4CXv5U5C0c9jngEbUcn3wxq_1xWWqXAQA6pJDqVZse82dvqHPccXxCz8_U38vexlSZ3I7ctHBx124/s320/TIP1.png" width="314" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
不知读者身边可还有朋友还在高喊买进黄金。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
在决定是否要买进黄金以前,投资人除了要窥探国际大户是否有重大持有部位之外。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
另一步就是观察TIPS走势图,TIPS和通货膨胀有直接关系。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
这里不多做TIPS的结构解释,有兴趣可参阅以下网址的详细解释:</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<a href="http://greenhornfinancefootnote.blogspot.com/2007/06/tips.html">http://greenhornfinancefootnote.blogspot.com/2007/06/tips.html </a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
美欧为何继续主张货币宽松政策,主要还是央行未见明示通膨到来,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
反之还有通缩的可能,这迹象造就过去原油和大部分的原物料和金属全数走跌。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgXKicssVXEpJ_Uvz2k1mU8JlRR-Z1WJeXi7lWlg8dgvrGMuIoSfjANQsEZstEyaodLbb5m855Vl4fkixkI86V8BVr3QQmfe6FEA1Y_ayjEIWj10DsgcCoZpGHll0I89SBJn9B4SUoASHP1/s1600/TIP.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="194" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgXKicssVXEpJ_Uvz2k1mU8JlRR-Z1WJeXi7lWlg8dgvrGMuIoSfjANQsEZstEyaodLbb5m855Vl4fkixkI86V8BVr3QQmfe6FEA1Y_ayjEIWj10DsgcCoZpGHll0I89SBJn9B4SUoASHP1/s320/TIP.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
同样的在资金流向方面,可以观察TIPS的资金流向。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
读者可以直接察觉2013年TIPS资金是完全流出的,对于黄金的走跌我更不觉得有何意外。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjaCO0bCu6HL1Q_vXr_4GMZkiMf7iowDM3RXX_N6KCXXkuJVuDP0sWNKnfE-nEK9d8n8uTTkJplaJC-pTaGZGDyFnJMuuDSubEu3ndqJNgWYJPkPI_q9q-Mq-ONY4MiK-fhxDUtzSMfKl9z/s1600/WTIC.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="292" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjaCO0bCu6HL1Q_vXr_4GMZkiMf7iowDM3RXX_N6KCXXkuJVuDP0sWNKnfE-nEK9d8n8uTTkJplaJC-pTaGZGDyFnJMuuDSubEu3ndqJNgWYJPkPI_q9q-Mq-ONY4MiK-fhxDUtzSMfKl9z/s320/WTIC.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
WTIC价格走跌,除了中东局势有所缓和之外,再来就是需求与库存关系。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
在美国投行高盛对2014年的预测中,对原油价格走势并不是很悲观。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
油价还有90-105 波动空间可以探寻交易 机会。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
接下来的12月会有很多的国际期货作结算。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
新的波段行情有望产生,机会无处不在。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
这又是一次的财富从分配!</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-15390142795101433662013-11-25T04:41:00.002-08:002013-11-25T04:45:59.127-08:00亚洲四小虎,外资股市资金流向图<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiI8Qb3kOg9cv7q2XLycUpIDzr8HiIyLDLU6EiuSF90F1LttJzDMFTGcKUfwKBJhmXlgPgI-IidSR4YmLY58EUfmgpeVgPU__qbY2h7oaTInKtC8hdW-LMsJE4a7_JmVLN-Jw8j2k2rv-sl/s1600/ASIA.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="307" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiI8Qb3kOg9cv7q2XLycUpIDzr8HiIyLDLU6EiuSF90F1LttJzDMFTGcKUfwKBJhmXlgPgI-IidSR4YmLY58EUfmgpeVgPU__qbY2h7oaTInKtC8hdW-LMsJE4a7_JmVLN-Jw8j2k2rv-sl/s320/ASIA.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
不必多做解释,基本上国际热钱持续撤离这些国家。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
撤离幅度最大的是泰国股市,可以预期菲律宾和马来西亚会在本季度陆续撤离。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgc3EBeANez-2uQzh-6KBcBp-Fk5cTw3k8Jwbq-9NDKh6kjiaKhfEcnT9Je2y5m42MW_SMWYFVY47vSew8faMJ8zdv_zI9EIMw0FYGhNwIdeiCRYagM3RVJ1-qZuj0n6QJZ3XK7lytlJKXn/s1600/asia2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="110" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgc3EBeANez-2uQzh-6KBcBp-Fk5cTw3k8Jwbq-9NDKh6kjiaKhfEcnT9Je2y5m42MW_SMWYFVY47vSew8faMJ8zdv_zI9EIMw0FYGhNwIdeiCRYagM3RVJ1-qZuj0n6QJZ3XK7lytlJKXn/s320/asia2.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
过去二周,外资主要撤离泰国和马来西亚。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
为何马来西亚股市老是上不去?外资在做撤离。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiFcfZmKoNt8mCJYUXpoEASce7jdlHbMrvLbli9gxBqs1CccLyKuLVHKof6va16Zrs2gn7fhiuqjNx1Pp36sxOOnhcGJP_D53HihG0YDRH_-KOWneTrzxmFTy_rfcVMRPXaye62h1dv_-Wh/s1600/hsi.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="152" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiFcfZmKoNt8mCJYUXpoEASce7jdlHbMrvLbli9gxBqs1CccLyKuLVHKof6va16Zrs2gn7fhiuqjNx1Pp36sxOOnhcGJP_D53HihG0YDRH_-KOWneTrzxmFTy_rfcVMRPXaye62h1dv_-Wh/s320/hsi.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
香港恒指(HSI),大额交易人继续保持净多单部位。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
本周有机会维持在高位作结算。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
12月份,国际股市会如何走,敬请期待更多的数据公布。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
把数据视觉和图表化。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<object class="BLOGGER-youtube-video" classid="clsid:D27CDB6E-AE6D-11cf-96B8-444553540000" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0" data-thumbnail-src="http://img.youtube.com/vi/aK0Y_jNdXRM/0.jpg" height="266" width="320"><param name="movie" value="http://youtube.googleapis.com/v/aK0Y_jNdXRM&source=uds" /><param name="bgcolor" value="#FFFFFF" /><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><embed width="320" height="266" src="http://youtube.googleapis.com/v/aK0Y_jNdXRM&source=uds" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowfullscreen="true"></embed></object></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-89978052010077752802013-11-24T20:00:00.000-08:002013-11-24T05:42:54.150-08:00国际市场简析(NOV22)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgwLAA7sfQw9en9choShumptUwDicXBPQJKDBoUF9YEyTt-Qtr8soQRBN6WPBH0cqgKJfIlbfMlI1a1k6Ewj6EkfxsojiOLvpKkvEIzYJTeNBtwg6o8glNFOHge15CLwDnH3bJCsF5uJnS3/s1600/dji.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="182" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgwLAA7sfQw9en9choShumptUwDicXBPQJKDBoUF9YEyTt-Qtr8soQRBN6WPBH0cqgKJfIlbfMlI1a1k6Ewj6EkfxsojiOLvpKkvEIzYJTeNBtwg6o8glNFOHge15CLwDnH3bJCsF5uJnS3/s320/dji.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
美国股市22日收高,其中标准普尔500指数首次收于1800点上方,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
道琼斯指数在前一交易日突破16000点大关后,继续上扬,两大股指均创下有史以来新高。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
今年有望成为美国股市十年来表现最佳的一年。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
上图是道指的资金流向图,累计资金还是偏向流出。和不段创高的股市形成背离。 </div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgdu6uMp6g7WiJrudsYPrw4mBM66Z9On-RPbuCLsuYMR-15DkOZn4AvNd18tTCkwte2OODHQ2_r9_sCNZeJa_RGh-1VRlzos_VNzzSlQQC2CZYj0axdrLi4ncqq4H5w_GCpS9Xg9Nh5QnN5/s1600/IIBears_2013_11_21.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="233" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgdu6uMp6g7WiJrudsYPrw4mBM66Z9On-RPbuCLsuYMR-15DkOZn4AvNd18tTCkwte2OODHQ2_r9_sCNZeJa_RGh-1VRlzos_VNzzSlQQC2CZYj0axdrLi4ncqq4H5w_GCpS9Xg9Nh5QnN5/s320/IIBears_2013_11_21.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
数据显示,美国股指已经较2009年3月熊市低点上涨了近200%。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
美股的投资者看跌意识接近历史新低。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
这时记得股神的名言:别人贪婪时恐惧,别人恐惧时贪婪。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjunQ-NF3dlLEZaGgenrA2JjsLW6d_Y9z9AXYK0uU7zkTDoBlnvl0pACyxT_VJJ_yBS-DCTm2nrrK6s5h2HHGJWP8qKRFRo1RuOVsIcgYVZbGHfw3MKur3wN9He61VIQ1zRtL8J9i74Tvud/s1600/BONDUS.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="152" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjunQ-NF3dlLEZaGgenrA2JjsLW6d_Y9z9AXYK0uU7zkTDoBlnvl0pACyxT_VJJ_yBS-DCTm2nrrK6s5h2HHGJWP8qKRFRo1RuOVsIcgYVZbGHfw3MKur3wN9He61VIQ1zRtL8J9i74Tvud/s320/BONDUS.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
国际期货市场,取至CFTC新式报告,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
VIX期指,杠杆基金继续留守部分空单在市场。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
债市方面,杠杆基金改变策略,留意接下来的转折。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhg1rd3EPQDACPWKs2-bb-hK4XnlK0QVZTCXrxwXKwfr1I314hUrUlAs5MEtXyMcUjtw4i5E8DhEaIxyMClg54f0nYkJ5d1lc70LpO0-YYplSDtT345hjqXlGaL-7b4ZfLCajr68-_dBWpU/s1600/GOLD.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="231" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhg1rd3EPQDACPWKs2-bb-hK4XnlK0QVZTCXrxwXKwfr1I314hUrUlAs5MEtXyMcUjtw4i5E8DhEaIxyMClg54f0nYkJ5d1lc70LpO0-YYplSDtT345hjqXlGaL-7b4ZfLCajr68-_dBWpU/s320/GOLD.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
金属类,杠杆基金空单继续增加。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
势必看跌金属价格。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgtHQFQhdHJqMspxe-z2O1cAUy44SRqNxq1Ultm0pU_y9nB4M9ohJdPYiMayxx-Lo9Q4yAexxQrFKNP0PPgvNULpZAthDLNMxfBoF3J2XKSzEwXVQZTtDXNGG9K16abELqwLGfYsDA9rLWw/s1600/WTIC.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="175" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgtHQFQhdHJqMspxe-z2O1cAUy44SRqNxq1Ultm0pU_y9nB4M9ohJdPYiMayxx-Lo9Q4yAexxQrFKNP0PPgvNULpZAthDLNMxfBoF3J2XKSzEwXVQZTtDXNGG9K16abELqwLGfYsDA9rLWw/s320/WTIC.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
WTIC 价格走跌已有一段时间,但能源类ETF并没显著的跌势。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
目前二类别更来到历史的负相关水平。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
有一方会是对的,目前看来杠杆基金并没进一步看跌WTIC期价。 </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-57302452873723922652013-11-24T18:00:00.000-08:002013-11-24T02:24:00.271-08:00种植股是涨势强劲?还是昙花一现?<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiewjkeOUXEa9b7GXl75Yb3iLsw-bdk_Tz46y3ZzGQCj69q6Dh6CQ8dNAgtbmg-cbZjhvbCOaZb8h793zAnM15MjqHqZGvvxEso7EqbNb_RfOf4skQLCwUV9-9_hCHiiaDN3mqDkpLYFPZh/s1600/cpo1122.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="141" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiewjkeOUXEa9b7GXl75Yb3iLsw-bdk_Tz46y3ZzGQCj69q6Dh6CQ8dNAgtbmg-cbZjhvbCOaZb8h793zAnM15MjqHqZGvvxEso7EqbNb_RfOf4skQLCwUV9-9_hCHiiaDN3mqDkpLYFPZh/s320/cpo1122.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
种植股涨势强劲?我为我看见的现象提出了问号??</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
上图是CPO现月走势图,线图老手一定会理解我要表达的是什么。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
目前CPO唯一的优势是有较长的盘底优势,为价格带来支撑。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
那上涨的动能在那?</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpq8GOqlr2dP4dHHWEqw0PxDLNy2jjXZt2a1LSVad8TDSmj36DC44-A8uCF3grKcgpurpXrZhpQyEl_9eO_NF-cvk-dn4so6XCgHgx3X6TqikZwAwm0ZF0nHieV4KLNSgvs6P1sSc8aNl2/s1600/palmoil.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="175" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpq8GOqlr2dP4dHHWEqw0PxDLNy2jjXZt2a1LSVad8TDSmj36DC44-A8uCF3grKcgpurpXrZhpQyEl_9eO_NF-cvk-dn4so6XCgHgx3X6TqikZwAwm0ZF0nHieV4KLNSgvs6P1sSc8aNl2/s320/palmoil.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
上图是棕油指数和种植股指数图。读者请留意2个指数的价格比列。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
种植股指数与棕油指数比列(红线),可以观察市场的上涨或下跌可否有实体的基本面支持。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
如种植股要有一波上涨趋势,必须要有真实的投资者入场买入。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
而不是在棕油期货价格上的投机或预测行为推动形成泡沫。 </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
有些时候,棕油价格会带动种植股走高但强弱必须维持合理区间。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
目前这比列开始出现背离了,我不知棕油会涨至何时。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
但可以合理推测会涨至12月中的棕油结算期。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgKM6W7rDSY02K1x6QWB4QxWdWNF6tbmwyAS5gYwrenNnvQ7R-TCspB6tuCjuc6geEnhtPkwO_DZRMHfQS2eWSttOvJKSBWtYEKsFafpMYw3pKV01XYNEl7Yktqk95H9gwD4OQhMfD8wP9_/s1600/cpo1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="179" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgKM6W7rDSY02K1x6QWB4QxWdWNF6tbmwyAS5gYwrenNnvQ7R-TCspB6tuCjuc6geEnhtPkwO_DZRMHfQS2eWSttOvJKSBWtYEKsFafpMYw3pKV01XYNEl7Yktqk95H9gwD4OQhMfD8wP9_/s320/cpo1.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
上图是全球及主要国家棕油产量(单位:百万吨)</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
USDA11月份供需报告还显示,2013/14年度全球棕油产量预估维持在5809万吨,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
与上月预估持平,较前一年度高出277万吨。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
主产国中,预计印
尼棕油产量13/14年度产量更是将达到创纪录的3100万吨。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马来西亚13/14年度产量维持1900万吨不变。由于需求增速缓慢,世界棕油库存也
一直处于历史高位。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
全球2013/14
年度棕油期末库存预估小幅下调47万吨至920万吨,不过较前一年度增加18.4%,总体来看全球以及主产国棕油供需仍处于宽松格局。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhnp9TxYMQbWElR5qy67QzoJojI4q41Zola4kPJZmqxs2JwFbM_ENOLjFV8uWLvZK9UUTaqbT9jp3UVi6xoB95TnzeUdXPzusfKaoqVOaELSuHipdAEWTyH4QxtPPxPQdtvXRH9519lZYX2/s1600/CPO2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="174" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhnp9TxYMQbWElR5qy67QzoJojI4q41Zola4kPJZmqxs2JwFbM_ENOLjFV8uWLvZK9UUTaqbT9jp3UVi6xoB95TnzeUdXPzusfKaoqVOaELSuHipdAEWTyH4QxtPPxPQdtvXRH9519lZYX2/s320/CPO2.jpg" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
上图是马来西亚棕油月度出口(单位:吨)</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
为消化高企的库存,增加棕油出口竞争力,马来西亚和印尼还会继续从去年开始的出口关税之争。印尼工业部官员宣布,从9月份开始,印尼将棕油出口
关税从8月份的10.5%下调到9%。这是印尼四个月来首次下调棕油出口关税,以应对棕油高产周期时来自马来西亚的出口竞争。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
目前马来西亚的棕
油出口关税为5%,远低于印尼,而今年1月调整前的出口关税为23%。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
今年马来西亚大幅下调出口关税的目的就是旨在提高棕油出口,削减库存, 与印尼出口商竞争。可以预计,两国将在棕油出口方面通过降低出
口关税等方式展开激烈竞争,这将导致棕油价格进一步趋弱。 </div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjex4XeKcS4V5eIURhaA6KDhz-5JtdP9-wEFE5xvl-IsJDmt7lqV09ALmJIGmnxdHNm6Tjrln29U-nj7CTUfQsDOkilrAXhQqDnJ3645j05AZFF0HilLz32r48Q8gCgU14Nh24N8I9JHs72/s1600/SOYOIL.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="159" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjex4XeKcS4V5eIURhaA6KDhz-5JtdP9-wEFE5xvl-IsJDmt7lqV09ALmJIGmnxdHNm6Tjrln29U-nj7CTUfQsDOkilrAXhQqDnJ3645j05AZFF0HilLz32r48Q8gCgU14Nh24N8I9JHs72/s320/SOYOIL.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
上图是黄豆油日线图,留意下方的COT持仓报告数据。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
大额交易人(红线),并无大举看涨的意愿。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
配合之前的图表解释,希望能給读者另类的分析参考。 </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
有兴趣继续追踪黄豆油行情的读者可以链接以下网址:</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<a href="http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ZL&p=d1">http://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=ZL&p=d1</a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-81136455948731515162013-11-24T17:00:00.000-08:002013-11-24T00:58:18.394-08:00富时综合指数分析(NOV22)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi_6Bq6KRUJ0Y59jS_A6jfNuUsBxrpBucMPirEldWu5sBeCj7r6wXwCdkr481AFWtG49DYwfrUJYDn4N6jdJVHWRtyZUbxEIuGlBrJbshbZDQfIkMWSelztyN037XzAr4-QFJVGyweykfH0/s1600/klciINS.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="170" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi_6Bq6KRUJ0Y59jS_A6jfNuUsBxrpBucMPirEldWu5sBeCj7r6wXwCdkr481AFWtG49DYwfrUJYDn4N6jdJVHWRtyZUbxEIuGlBrJbshbZDQfIkMWSelztyN037XzAr4-QFJVGyweykfH0/s320/klciINS.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
上图是马来西亚股市法人资金流向指标,指数的统计股项有50只。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
主要锁定投资机构持股量较高的股项。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
图表以短期为观察重点,所以取5日与10日累计资料作参考。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
从图表上,可察觉法人开始减持股票部位。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
创新高的股票也不再持续。法人的操作开始保守。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
对于节节上升的美国股市,会否带动富时综合指数再创高? </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
这可能性,对接下来这周走势基本上并不大。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEidqg18XQsSFNWMgk-A3WaTVIM2K7r-ohrcqC1A7-kBftVI-25DO8hgyQWBSkxvRs0P3q-PNTCIYMJQgwTpurKLtNzMEOpJ9jpow7XMeENYYXfVhu_SwhNE5G4y3DLpa2aJDm8hB9FEc3h6/s1600/fii1122.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="119" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEidqg18XQsSFNWMgk-A3WaTVIM2K7r-ohrcqC1A7-kBftVI-25DO8hgyQWBSkxvRs0P3q-PNTCIYMJQgwTpurKLtNzMEOpJ9jpow7XMeENYYXfVhu_SwhNE5G4y3DLpa2aJDm8hB9FEc3h6/s320/fii1122.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
第二图是外资与本土投资机构资金流向趋势观察图。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
外资的资金流出数量已开始减少,富时综合指数卖压减低。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
但接下来是 期指结算周,也是指数较为波动的一周。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
以区域泰国,菲律宾,印尼和韩国股市作观察,基本上外资是期货布空单,现货撤离的。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
即便表面的技术线图,这些国家的指数看起来还有些支撑力道,但鬼故事总在背后。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
交易人要多加谨慎,避免再继续加码入市。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgGv2uDKRN6fUzvMN1GPvO9ZIkSK9Rzw-ouwQD46S4mqHzGPi8ZwwkW1qxBpRnBLaLJhGZq_KHtBMUkc4qbvkc4KZscw7YO4hBfjj6SWNXsCxabhjtz1n-BX0IAfXTsBMQSebTbWeYRWkvf/s1600/myr.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="93" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgGv2uDKRN6fUzvMN1GPvO9ZIkSK9Rzw-ouwQD46S4mqHzGPi8ZwwkW1qxBpRnBLaLJhGZq_KHtBMUkc4qbvkc4KZscw7YO4hBfjj6SWNXsCxabhjtz1n-BX0IAfXTsBMQSebTbWeYRWkvf/s320/myr.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
汇率方面,马币持续疲弱。汇价继续跌破月线。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
目前可以说股汇都同步弱,股市走强的概率偏低。</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjAl2e3y5oZ9Ux-nPnvSAfEFQE6yJywQFFynCCUtsqQ4LbQXQ8C2d9Vkb6HmKCu6fZNAocic4oGurZpayR-weIW-wR9blUuppCXzi4pZg_1HxKpsC2Hnu9iYmlORHKDezpSWegMrE7wLFxz/s1600/fkli1122.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="183" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjAl2e3y5oZ9Ux-nPnvSAfEFQE6yJywQFFynCCUtsqQ4LbQXQ8C2d9Vkb6HmKCu6fZNAocic4oGurZpayR-weIW-wR9blUuppCXzi4pZg_1HxKpsC2Hnu9iYmlORHKDezpSWegMrE7wLFxz/s320/fkli1122.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
期指方面,现货与期货价差是逆价差。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
一周现货涨4.65点,期货跌4.5点。留仓量继续减少。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
预计期指会在1780-1810范围结算。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
12月的 富时综合指数走势预期就等5个交易日后,才有比较明确的方向可以推算。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
总结:</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
指数跌破月线,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
期指跌破月线,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
马币跌破月线, </div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
现货与期货是逆差价,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
外资继续保持流出趋势,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
综合指数权值股保持小幅度资金流入,</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
预期接下来是偏弱的区间波动走势。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<span id="goog_738860813"></span><span id="goog_738860814"></span><br />Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4693497953256824490.post-46388188232679380692013-11-20T06:49:00.002-08:002013-11-20T06:49:59.968-08:00富时综合指数简析(nov20)<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhIg2o8H2dM0Wn1VMJ65N3nGl0asIUm-Wq5CNVl4_MxqXnxt6Ep5CBvdzohXVNCNvPQjo4tp_UQhtlwq731MNnQXGzhTmJJ1o0c_hNYn3ACmctJ6KUCc1USpZHsvDzwbSe4E3TEfTLlc2w9/s1600/c1.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="132" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhIg2o8H2dM0Wn1VMJ65N3nGl0asIUm-Wq5CNVl4_MxqXnxt6Ep5CBvdzohXVNCNvPQjo4tp_UQhtlwq731MNnQXGzhTmJJ1o0c_hNYn3ACmctJ6KUCc1USpZHsvDzwbSe4E3TEfTLlc2w9/s320/c1.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
先观察2只过去一直在引导富时综合指数的龙头股。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
上图是过去2周小时线,目前观察SKPETRO已开始出现弱像。TENAGA则还在强势。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
这2支权值股还对指数有支撑作用。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjvXVD5-adozZzsXXihqoDRQyiNLfm8Rx97lLJOJ2VinUn1zH6b75Fi0LeV45FanmcpO2ReWyMWYQRLDBsA_yOY8tyGvAL2jIn0XD3SkXiWdrPX6aZBsv8vrIATwZQVYin7U4-_CS8HjLJM/s1600/C2.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="84" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjvXVD5-adozZzsXXihqoDRQyiNLfm8Rx97lLJOJ2VinUn1zH6b75Fi0LeV45FanmcpO2ReWyMWYQRLDBsA_yOY8tyGvAL2jIn0XD3SkXiWdrPX6aZBsv8vrIATwZQVYin7U4-_CS8HjLJM/s320/C2.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
上方图表也是2周的小时线图,今天MAYBANK和SKPETRO和综合指数走势同步。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
强势股转向种植股,IOICORP打底多时,继续为综指 带来支持。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
交易人要留意的是:种植股占综合指数成份比列极底。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
如要走大多头行情,还要电讯股和贸易类股支持。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
可惜还没有明示动作。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
</div>
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhUyItwKYhEdcIqG3eyG2yovzlpH8O7clDNrGAdryvCsvlTrfoeI8AlRNhSojAbfv_Z0t1jdqKcM1LVLY7P0Ylwyh8gA0i5Zjsrd79rD_uSrsCPd5KNjaL31mbgti8-EpuPxNc0RupOE8zv/s1600/C3.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="165" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhUyItwKYhEdcIqG3eyG2yovzlpH8O7clDNrGAdryvCsvlTrfoeI8AlRNhSojAbfv_Z0t1jdqKcM1LVLY7P0Ylwyh8gA0i5Zjsrd79rD_uSrsCPd5KNjaL31mbgti8-EpuPxNc0RupOE8zv/s320/C3.png" width="320" /></a></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
再观察统计数据,昨日指数的大涨15点,今天就回收了一半涨幅。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
目前指数还在盘整阶段, 我继续保持区间波动的看法。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
波动范围1780-1820。</div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
<div style="text-align: center;">
<br /></div>
Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13793839934986811005noreply@blogger.com0